Update On The Harvey Flood Threat

Good afternoon, gang. Harvey continues to produce historic flooding across Texas and Louisiana, but is finally on the move, and it’s heading to Kentucky. This will bring a tremendous amount of rain our way, leading to a significant flood threat for many areas of the state.

I’m seeing lots of high school football games being moved to Thursday evening, but many of those games may still have issues. Heavy rain and storms arrive from southwest to northeast Thursday afternoon and evening. Saturday is a better alternative for those games to be played, as there is basically zero chance of lightning then.

The track on Harvey is still on track to cause flooding issues across Kentucky through early Saturday. I’m gonna roll with my same rainfall forecast from earlier, but will make some updates to this on WKYT-TV later today…

The forecast models are pretty much in agreement with that forecast, with some minor differences in placement. Here’s the GFS…

The NAM…

As Harvey moves in, winds are going to be very gusty and may reach 40mph at times Thursday night into Friday.

Temperatures during this time will be awesome to watch. Southeastern Kentucky will be on the east side of the center of circulation and will see temps deep into the 70s. Areas west and north of the track will see temps in the low and middle 50s.. during the afternoon. With lingering clouds and showers on Saturday, some areas of central and eastern Kentucky may stay in the 50s for highs.

Better weather rolls in here for Sunday and Labor Day.

I have you all set to track the progress of Harvey…

cone graphic

I will likely drop by for another update this evening.

Make it a good one and take care.

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7 Responses to Update On The Harvey Flood Threat

  1. Schroeder., says:

    The remnants of Harvey is being transferred toward the Mississippi and Ohio valley. The low pressure will combined with a trough from the northwest, which will only enhance the heavy rainfall for all these regions.

  2. Prelude says:

    As for the folks dealing with historical flooding in SE Texas. Early next week those same areas could very well be looking at several more inches of rain. As another tropical feature looks to develop and very likely hit the same region.

  3. Matt says:

    Looks like we may skate right by here in southeast Ky according to those runs. An inch or so maybe? Sounds good to me.

  4. Mike S says:

    I came across an interesting top analog for our upcoming weather event…dated between September 20-22, 1979. At first, I thought it was the leftovers of Hurricane Frederic that came up into our region that produced over 3-4″ between Louisville and Lexington. But it was actually from a low pressure that formed just north of a weakening Hurricane Henri in the Gulf that combined forces and drenched the region with a widespread 3-6″. Louisville and Lexington both recorded just over 5″ for the multi-day event.

  5. MarkLex says:

    Is this true about wind shear I keep hearing them talk about during tropical systems or remnants of them…..that during the daytime, there is wind shear, but at night, there isn’t? So, at night, the system enhances and in the day hours it weakens somewhat? It’s crazy that the remnants can retain that wind and it will be even 40 mph gusts here… I remember earlier this year (I forgot the name) Cindy I think, came right through here and it was very rainy and windy.

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