Good Monday and Happy Labor Day. Today marks the unofficial end to summer for most folks, but it’s safe to say summer ended long ago. The pattern has been in hyperactive mode and the week ahead looks to feature more of the same. I’m tracking another big fall cold front, and the potential for a powerful hurricane to impact the east coast.
Our Labor Day will feature party sunny skies with temps in the upper 70s to low 80s. Winds will be very gusty and there is a small chance for a shower or storm to go up…
Our cold front arrives Tuesday with gusty showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of it. Lingering showers may carry through the rest of the week as one huge trough dives in here…
Temps coming in behind this are about 6 weeks ahead of schedule. Check out these anomalies…
Pot of Chili, anyone? 🙂
At the same time, powerful Hurricane Irma is barreling toward the southeast coast of the United States. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…
The latest model forecasts for Irma are frightening. Here’s the latest GFS…
This was a southward shift when compared to the prior run of the same model…
It’s interesting to note, both tracks have basically the same outcome for Kentucky, with Irma coming our way.
The Canadian model does too…
If the model consensus is right, Irma could impact our weather into early next week. This is not the most common of tracks to bring rain into Kentucky, but it has happened before.
There will still be a lot of shifts in the track of this storm in the coming days.
Have a great Labor Day and take care.
I’m the first to comment?? Anyway, any of these tracks with Irma would make a rough go for Kentucky, no matter what the strength at landfall…
Discussion and forecast on Hurricane Irma, updated at 5:00 am EST http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/310844.shtml
Next update at 11:00 am EST.
Here’s the latest water vapor map, where Hurricane Irma is really in focus. Irma, will likely continue on a southerly tract toward the Leeward Islands. http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv.php?inv=0&t=l12®ion=he
Looks like i a huge shift in the thinking of Irma. Headed for the gulf instead of the east coast now? That’s the last thing that TX LA needs.
That’s very possible with the push from the North. Worst case scenario.
Would not say it’s headed for the Gulf..To many variables at play that could steer Irma in any direction..Even OTS is still on the table..It’s probably going to turn north at some point but then the question is will it turn NW and come inland..Still a ways to go for we know..
Here’s another Earth link showing global wind patterns: http://earth.nullschool.net/
I’am staying away on models, here’s the Goes East satellite showing Hurricane Irma latest tract: http://www.weatherstreet.com/hurricane/2017/Hurricane-Atlantic-2017.htm
That means you should stay away from discussions regarding models as well. 😉
Andy CB said be respectful on this post
When I’m disrespectful you will know it.
Like button just pushed.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/
If that track holds true, Irma could potentially be much more destructive than Harvey considering it puts 3 major cities (Miami, Tampa, Orlando) in its direct path progressing north effecting 90% of the population of Florida on its way, leaving only the westernmost tip of the panhandle immune. The destruction could be well beyond what we saw in Texas. especially if this should reach cat 5 strength.
My thoughts exactly… Very very scary!
I disagree in part that summer ended long ago, but am glad to see an early change in seasons.
Hurricane warnings have been issued for the Leeward Islands. Irma is moving west southwest and will likely be a category 4 hurricane soon.
It is way too early to make predictions, as to where Hurricane Irma will make landfall. Any forecast for the exact path and strength of Hurricane Irma latter this week is just an educated guess, but, if I was living in the Florida Keys, I would start preparing to leave and head north now.
Looks like pot of chilli time indeed. My cousin is on her first cruise and was rerouted due to the hurricane.
Here’s the 10 day updated GFS model: http://www.weatherstreet.com/states/gfsx-10-day-forecast.htm
Still brings it in our neck of the woods
trough showing up in the upper Midwest on this run of the GFS that wasn’t there before..Should pull Irma more Northward..May be the saving grace for Eastern Ky..South Florida still gets nailed then looks like Georgia..Still a ways to go..
What made Harvey so bad is he didn’t get out of dodge fast enough.
Andrew was a very strong Hurricane to hit Florida and did a lot of damage. But kept on trucking across the state and did not put down as much rain. Hope Irma keeps on the move.
Thanks Chris! Hoping we can stay on this side of temperature anomalies through Winter. It seems like it`s hard anymore to get a cold Christmas, let alone a White Christmas one.
Just my opinion I think it depends what this cold front coming thru down south does may have some steering for hurricane I’ma to go what direction
Hurricane hunters are reporting winds of 130+ mph with Irma that would be a Cat 4.