A Very Wet Pattern Taking Shape

Good Monday to one and all. We are coming off one of those “wow” weather weekends across the bluegrass state. Snow fell on both days, with some of the colder October highs you will ever find in this region. This was the coldest and snowiest back to back October days since 1993 for many areas.

So, how do we top this as we head into November? Buckle up, because I think it’s going to be a very wild ride!

Before we get to November, we still have this little Halloween holiday to get through, and it’s looking cold. We have a weak front dropping in here this afternoon and evening, ushering in the cold air for the ghosts and goblins. There could be a few light showers along the front, especially in northern Kentucky…

Temps look to be in the upper 20s and low 30s tomorrow morning with 40s for highs. Trick or treat temps drop quickly into the 30s for many…

As we flip the calendar to November, Mother Nature is going to pick up the pace. Following one of the wettest Octobers on record, the beginning of November looks to keep that trend going.

A cold rain rolls in here on Wednesday. I’m still wondering if we can get a touch of sleet on the leading edge of this across the north. This possibility has been showing up on a few of the forecast models…

From there, rounds of showers and some thunderstorms take over for the rest of the week and into the upcoming weekend. Temps are going to climb during this time, but it’s coming with a wet price. The pattern into early next week puts us in the line of fire for the bulk of the wet weather…

The GFS rainfall forecast over the next week and change is impressive…

As we head into the middle of next week, we find the pattern beginning to change up, but that doesn’t mean the rain train rolls away. Watch how the western trough starts to progress eastward…

We may actually see a series of troughs roll through here, with colder air showing up. That still means a lot of active weather.

Don’t take those exact numbers to heart, but rather as an indication that a lot of rain may fall through the first few weeks of November. I wonder if we can get the tail end of that to be in flake form? Hmm

I will update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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39 Responses to A Very Wet Pattern Taking Shape

  1. MarkLex says:

    If I use firefox, I see the Twitter feed. If I use Chrome (which is what I always use), I don’t see the Twitter feed at all.

  2. SHAAK says:

    So more non snow events? Typical.

  3. BubbaG says:

    After two winters of big snows for most and then virtually zero last year, good luck in foresting this winter 🙂

    • MarkLex says:

      yup – and if you remember that one winter where we had 2 huge snows within 2 or 3 weeks …..that all didn’t start until mid-Feb I believe…..Prior to that there may have been a couple of ankle biters. I think the following winter the snows came earlier. I honestly can’t remember much about that following winter. But I do know one of them there was 40 inches and the next one I think it was 30 inches. (seasonal totals), for Lexington at least.

      • BubbaG says:

        Yep! My bet is on mainly mix events for most of KY, since expecting us to be the fence more times than not. Then again, I agreed with CB last winter and we got almost nothing. The numbers supported his forecast, but still barely an inch total for most areas. Lowest snow total on record?

        BTW, what kind of spell check “foretesting” is that?

  4. Oliver Queen says:

    When is the Pre winter forecast going up?

  5. Virgil says:

    If I could take a pill and wake up and it would be middle March, Id take it in a heart beat. This weather is just simply not for me.

  6. Bernard P. Fife says:

    Thelma Lou says not to be surprised if there are no more hard frosts until December, unless you live up north. She expects a cold week early in December then all aboard the “not so” polar express. Nothing scientific going into the predictions just Fred.. the wooly worm! 🙂

  7. Mike S says:

    Yesterday, Lexington did not crack 40 degrees, Louisville barely at 41. One year earlier, Lexington saw a record high of 82 and Louisville a record high of 84.

  8. Ralph says:

    This thread is so much more professional now that Schroeder is gone!

  9. Chris Mercer says:

    October’s average temperature changed in a hurry. Just a few days ago, both Louisville and Lexington were into Top 10 warmest October territory. Temps will still finish above normal–but not by much.

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