Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Seasonally chill temps continue to roll on across the bluegrass state, with a true cold shot showing up on Friday. From there, we will track another cold rain maker later in the upcoming weekend.

The Friday cold shot is impressive across much of the eastern half of the country, especially in the Great Lakes and northeast…

That brings 20s in here by Friday morning with afternoon highs in the upper 30s and low 40s. Those highs are impressive considering we will have sunny skies for the most part. Temps drop into the 20s Friday evening, with low 20s waiting on some of us by Saturday morning.

Winds are going to be gusty during this time, giving us some heart of winter wind chills. Here’s the NAM…

The Canadian numbers are even colder…

Highs for Saturday reach the middle upper 40s and low 50s with an increase in clouds. Those clouds are ahead of another cold front sweeping in on Sunday. This will bring chilly rain to the region through Monday…

There’s a chance we see that system trend a little deeper in the coming days. That may be able to pull down a littler colder air if it does so.

The European Model slows that system down and lets it develop along the east coast, bringing another cold shot in here late next Wednesday into Thursday…

It follows that up with another system diving in here by the end of next week…

I’ve been beating the drum on a winter look developing in the days leading up to Thanksgiving and you can see that on the maps above. The Ensembles are really picking up on this very well. Look at the 5 day temperature departure leading up to turkey day…

That’s an impressive average for 5 days worth of temps from a smoothed out ensembles run. Here’s the daily animation of that same run…

The same Ensembles continue to show the potential for some flakes to fly during the same time…

There’s some “hmm” to the pattern as we head into the second half of November and early December.

Enjoy your evening and take care.


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6 Responses to Wednesday Evening Update

  1. Billy Johnson says:

    I understand the ” hmm” as you finish your forecast. These “hmms” have been going on for a month now. Is that a teaser for the upcoming winter that doesn’t exist. In another words, let’s see how many hits we can generate to keep my website popularity. I have watched your website for 3 or 4 years now and all I continue to see are stringing folks on who wish for cold and snowy winters which rarely happens. The truth is people are starving for snow in an area that just doesn’t have it. To promote it as such is misleading to those who love winter. An honest opinion from bj who loves winter, but is worn out with something that ain’t t going to happen. and I’m sick of hmmmms!

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