A Very Cold Few Days Ahead

Good Thursday, everyone. An early November arctic front is diving into the eastern half of the country, delivering the coldest air of the young fall season. This caps off a week of well below normal temperatures across our part of the world, with colder signals showing up down the road.

Some of you may be saying… Arctic front? This is modified arctic air and a sure fire way to see that is to look at the dewpoints. Single digit dewpoint temps in Kentucky in early November are not very common…

That’s one heck of a dry air mass and you may even feel a little static electricity on Friday.

What does this mean for temperatures? Lows by Friday morning drop deep into the 20s with afternoon reading struggling to get out of the 30s, even with full sunshine. Here’s the Hi-Res Nam…

Temps drop quickly into the 20s Friday evening and could reach the low 20s in some areas by Saturday morning…

Winds are going to be gusty during this time and will make all those numbers feel much, much colder. These are the coldest wind chill readings since last winter…

Yep, wind chills will hit the teens at times Friday through Saturday morning. Ouch.

The rest of Saturday will find clouds increasing with temps in the 40s central and east and 50s west.

A system moves in for Sunday and early Monday with chilly showers…

I continue to look toward next weekend into Thanksgiving week for the potential for a winter weather threat. The European Model continues to kick things off with a deepening trough into our region next weekend…

That trend matches up with the GFS Ensembles. They keep coming in with a well below normal look developing at the same time and going through Thanksgiving…

The same Ensembles keep spitting out some snow chances around here during the same time…

I’ll drop by for another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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29 Responses to A Very Cold Few Days Ahead

  1. Dottie says:

    Not going to enjoy sitting in the deer stand on Saturday morning. Brrrr.

  2. Schroeder says:

    The high pressure ridge in the western part of the country that is presented on models that you displayed are not showing up on any future models that I have recently viewed. In the Pacific, there is low pressure dominating, but there may be a weak ridge in the southwest. In the Atlantic high pressure still remains south of Greenland. We will see if there will be a change at the end of next week.

  3. LeeAnn says:

    Chris, thank you as always for the blog post! I’m rooting for a snowy Thanksgiving. I remember one from around 92 or 93, and would love a repeat of that.

    Blessings from Hazard,

  4. Bernard P. Fife says:

    Hope this isn’t just eye candy from this far out.

  5. Jeff Kidd says:

    Schroeder why don’t you just come out and say you disagree with everything Chris has been forecasting? You obviously have been saying the exact opposite as him for the past week. He says cold and you say warm. I’m sure glad you are smarter than all meteorologists out there.

  6. BubbaG says:

    Cold Black Friday shoppers! I shall troll the Hamburg Best Buy in my car while sipping hot chocolate 😉

  7. Rickie H says:

    I’m hoping for a cold Thanksgiving. Reminiscing just a little… thinking of childhood when they would be just a dusting of snow on the ground , My Papaw and daddy would go rabbit hunting and come in just before dinner.

  8. winter lover says:

    7 days to go for Chris winter Outlook and his bold prediction that he stated it will happen in December.

  9. Shelley says:

    I am getting excited! Can you please place a legend next to the snow maps?

    • BubbaG says:

      Well, the good news is in theory we have nowhere to go but Up over last winter. That was apparently the biggest snow dud overall for the state on record. Richmond as example only got an inch total if you round up.

  10. The Weather Wizard says:

    excited for some cold weather, and maybe same show soon.

  11. Schroeder says:

    Predicting snowfall for any given winter would be like selecting the winning lottery numbers. Temperatures are less difficult to predict overall. We will just have to take what the winter brings.

    • Jeff Kidd says:

      That’s funny because you already said it’s going to be warm this winter.

      • Jeff Hamlin says:

        Pay Schroeder no attention.

      • Schroeder says:

        A cooler Pacific and a warmer Atlantic surface sea temperatures may actually give our area a warmer than normal ( average out at the end of winter ) winter season, which is December, January and February. Doesn’t mean we will not see some winter events, such as polar outbreaks, with ice or snow showers. Hopefully, no ice storms like we had in 2009 January.

  12. Schroeder says:

    If I am wrong on my prediction for the up coming winter, I will admit it on March 21st 2018 on this blog. Then all of you can rip me to pieces. Good night and God Bless.

    • Prelude says:

      You keep making your ill advised condescending comments and you’ll continue to get ripped to pieces straight till March 21st 2018.

  13. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. Scheroder, since you are a weather lover, why don’t you start your own blog? It’s ok to disagree but very rude to do it at the expense of someone who does THIS blog for all of us because he knows we love weather as much as he does. I have tried to be nice and stay out of this but I really feel like you need to go your own way, or at least not try to undermine Chris. I enjoy reading comments from everyone as we all get giddy at the mere mention of a possible good snow, and then have Mother Nature pull the rug out from under us. Then we get Some of the best comments, but not disparaging and second guessing. WordPress has free blogs. You might want to try it. Have a pleasant evening everyone.

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