Good afternoon, everyone. Showers and storms are increasing across the region today, with another March snowfall waiting in the wings. That arrives later Tuesday into Wednesday and should impact much of the bluegrass state. This is now a Winter Storm THREAT.

For those new to the game. this is a heads up to the POTENTIAL of 4″ or more of snow falling in parts of our region. If confidence increases, we go to an Alert. If confidence decreases, we scrap the Threat and go along our merry way.

Before we get to the snow, let’s update the rain and storm action. There continues to be a risk of strong to severe storms across far southern parts of Kentucky. Hail and high winds are the main threats, with areas of Tennessee under the gun for a tornado outbreak. Here’s the current risk outlook from the SPC…

Old Man Winter won’t go away and will throw another decent snowfall our way later Tuesday into Wednesday. This happens as low pressure works into southeastern Kentucky…

You can see a very broad comma head of snow wrapping around the decaying low as it works into West Virginia, transferring energy to another nor’easter.

Rain switches to snow from west to east Tuesday afternoon and evening, with areas of heavy snow developing through Wednesday. A few to several inches of snow may fall during this time. Here’s the area most at risk…

Much of this falls Tuesday night into Wednesday, with an increasing risk of widespread cancellations and delays. Can some areas pick up more than 4″ of wet snow? Yes. Do I think this will approach the totals we had a week ago today? No.

I will have a First Call For Snowfall coming later today on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm.

Here’s a check of the model snowfall numbers…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

GFS

Here are your storm tracking tools for the afternoon…

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a good one and take care.