Heavy Rain Starts The Week

Good Monday, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain and rolling across the bluegrass state today, as a slow-moving low spins just to our south. This kicks off a very unsettled week, but I’m tracking a true spring setup as we open the month of May. Can I get a woot? 🙂

Let us start with the precious present and then hit the fast forward button.

Heavy rain is out there today, especially across the western half of the state. Rain totals since Sunday are greater than 2″-3″ for some, leading to a local high water threat. Watch for a comma head of heavy rain to slowly work across the rest of the state through Tuesday. That could also put down enough rain to cause some issues. Track away…

Scattered showers may be joined by a few thunderstorms Tuesday into Wednesday. This action is from a second system working across the region.

From there, a big upper level system dives in from the northwest for Friday and Saturday…

That brings chilly showers our way, to go along with gusty winds. The high ground of the Appalachian Mountains may see some snowflakes out of this setup.

The chilly air will quickly be replaced by a major warm up, and that may start by Sunday. This leads us into Kentucky Derby week, with a big ridge of high pressure controlling our weather…

Temps can make a run at the 80s, but that trough in the west is going to try and kick east later in the week. That may mean a stormy pattern unfolds by Kentucky Derby weekend.

I will have another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.


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6 Responses to Heavy Rain Starts The Week

  1. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris for the update. Fairly good rains early this morning in my county, but there seems to be a temporary end very soon as we are entering a dry slot. I am glad that the severe weather is staying away for the week ahead. The southeast ridge forecast for Derby week will be most welcome and we can only hope at this time that the cold front forecast to slide east will hold off until all the celebrations are over. Have a great day everyone despite the rain and gloomy weather. As the song goes ” Rainy Days and Monday’s always get’s me Down “, but don’t let it !

    • TennMark says:

      While Karen Carpenter of course had an incredible voice (and brother Richard was superb at piano/keyboard), I only learned more recently that Karen was also an excellent drummer and guitarist.

      Karen left us much too soon. I wasn’t born until after her sudden and untimely p-a-s-s-i-n-g.

  2. TennMark says:

    My cheap rain gauge has measured just under three and a half inches of “liquid sunshine” for this part of Nashville since yesterday morning. Please be careful everyone, even if most of the flood warnings for KY and TN have expired.

    Oh, NWS Paducah’s radar will be down for several weeks due to a structural failure of a major gear a-s-s-e-m-b-l-y that rotates the radar. Fortunately, there are several adjacent radars (especially at Ft Campbell and Evansville) that give good overlapping coverage.
    https://www.weather.gov/pah/PadcuahRadarOutage

  3. Shawon says:

    Mark, I’m surprised you didn’t mention that today is the 50th anniversary of the Tornado Outbreak that affected mostly Northern Kentucky and Southern Ohio, including a disputed F5 twister that affected Wheelersburg, Ohio just across the Ohio River from Greenup County.

    The F4 tornado that tracked 79 miles from Falmouth to Lucasville, OH took out my Dad’s house just as it hit Dover, KY in extreme northwestern Mason County then proceeded to cross the river and devastate parts of Ripley, OH.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1968_Wheelersburg,_Ohio_tornado_outbreak

    • TennMark says:

      Think I’ve posted about this outbreak in previous years, but forgot this time so glad you brought it up. I recall you posting about your father and this outbreak before.

      I read that the F5 that went through Indiana, Kentucky and Ohio on April 3 1974 (the only “tri-state” twister that day) may have “only” been an F4 as post-tornado inspections are more stringent today than in decades past. Not that there is that much difference between a high end EF4 and an EF5.

      I keep forgetting to post about the anniversaries of major floods in 1937 and 1945 (which include the Ohio River going mad).

  4. Virgil says:

    It looks like that heavy rain shield lifted farther north and east than projected.

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