Flash Flood Threat To Increase

Good Tuesday, everyone. The remnants of Alberto are working toward Kentucky today, bringing an increase in heavy rain and strong storms for the next few days. The potential for flash flooding will increase starting late today and carry us through Thursday, with another potential by the weekend.

Let’s get caught up on where Alberto is and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

With the track of Alberto moving from south to north across the western half of Kentucky, we will need to watch areas of central and eastern Kentucky for a few strong or severe storms very late today into tonight. Here’s the area the Storm Prediction Center has outlooked for possible severe storms…

Any storm that goes up can also put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time. Western Kentucky has the greatest flash flood risk in the near term, as they will be closer to the track of the low. By Wednesday and Thursday, showers and storms may concentrate more across central and eastern Kentucky. I’m concerned about the cloudburst potential leading to a significant flash flood somewhere in our region.

A few storms will be noted on Friday, with the potential for rounds of storms taking control again over the weekend as a system moves in from the west and northwest…

This could very well lead to another flash flood threat over the weekend.

Stay alert over the next several days, folks.

Here are your Alberto tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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13 Responses to Flash Flood Threat To Increase

  1. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris for the update. We had a good hefty rain shower late yesterday, which amounted to about an inch. With the remnants of Subtropical Storm Alberto still well to our south and slowly moving to the north- northwest, I speculate that it’s path will be more towards the Boot Heal of Missouri before turning northeast into Indiana. If this is the exact path, my county of Taylor would be on the eastern edge of the remnant low pressure system and may escape the heavy rains and flooding. Have a great day everyone.

  2. Shawon says:

    Interesting. The current forecasts where I live near Cincinnati are saying the weekend weather will be nice and dry. However, Chris is saying there is a potential for rounds of storms as a system moves in from the west and northwest. Who will win from 4-5 days out?

    • BubbaG says:

      Confused here as well…. Seems any big issues would be way west of 75. Wrap around action? Thought that was more a winter type thing.

      • Prelude says:

        NWS out of Louisville just dropped some counties out of the Flash Flood watch which I’m sure isn’t making CB happy.

        • BubbaG says:

          Is it wrap around? The path is apparently western KY, so why would central and eastern KY be in it orherwise?

          • Terry says:

            Every bit that is coming towards Harlan today keeps falling apart so 0.00 inches so far on the day here but it may increase later…..air seems too stable as we are too far away from the low down here at the moment with the wrap around drying up as it hits the App Mts in NC/TN/VA on the east side!

  3. Brendon says:

    Very light showers in East Bernstadt in between sunshine. Looks very scattered in nature. Western Ky. can have the steady stuff lol.

  4. David in Gtown says:

    Need some of this rain to strategically hit the yard here in Georgetown. Everything keeps skipping over us. Had a small shower last night, but didn’t even wet the pavement fully. We were at Fayette Mall when a big time storm rolled through Sunday afternoon, called home to make sure the dogs were in, and our son said the sun was out with nothing threatening.

    • Terry says:

      I know how you feel. I am doing fair on the month in my part of Harlan Co. at 3.87 inches month-to-date (little below average); however considering how wet the pattern is, I am drier than most of the state as everything misses around here due to topography. Parts of my county and sections throughout the state have seen more than double this month in rainfall, but I am not complaining as I am still above average on the year!

  5. BubbaG says:

    Looks like the tropical system is going even more west, based on the radar maps above.

    • Terry says:

      I had a little over a half an inch at the house yesterday but actually still need an inch to make an average May monthly total in my part of Harlan Co. Still, I am above average on the year-to-date total but a lot drier than earlier in the year.lol….☺

      • BubbaG says:

        The tropical system is way west. Also tomorrow seems more for the western part of state. That is unless the models are wrong. For snow, that’s a given 😉

        • Terry says:

          It is closing in on Missouri and southern Illinois later tonight!….models stink these days….but a few did forecast it to go that far west. Oh well, the boring weather is what we are use to:P

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