Good Monday, my fellow weather weenies. It’s another active week of weather beginning across our part of the world, with the chances for early season winter weather showing up. The first is a minor system later tonight and early Tuesday, with a stronger system quickly moving in behind it.
You know how we roll on the blog… We start with the precious present and roll forward. Rain is increasing across the state today as our fist system moves in. The heaviest will be across the southeastern part of the state…
As I’ve already explained in prior posts, this system is fairly strung out and is leaving behind the bulk of the energy. That will come out and form a bigger storm for the middle and end of the week. Because of that, this first system doesn’t have as much precipitation and is weaker and very fast moving. Still, it should be able to change to a period of light snow later tonight and early Tuesday, especially in the west and central parts of the state…
Notice the disconnect between the main rain shield and the rain and snow lagging behind to the west. That’s what moves in later tonight with the chance for some wet snow in the areas I just mentioned. Some light accumulations are possible in a few spots.
Cold air continues to pour in behind this for Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the 30s.
All that energy that’s holding back decides to become a little bowling ball of an upper level low and it looks to head right at us by late Wednesday through Thursday.
Along and west of the track of the upper low, dynamic cooling will produce snow. This whole system then turns into a nor’easter through the end of the week. The big question for us is does the upper low move in a way to give us snow? That’s a real possibility as of now and several models are latching on to this snow threat…
NAM through Thursday Morning…
New version of the GFS
This is an interesting system because those upper lows can produce a thumper of a snow right under them. That doesn’t mean it will be anywhere across Kentucky, but, if not, it’s going to be pretty darn close. It’s also interesting to see all models spitting out some sleet and freezing rain in our region.
Watch the northwestern sky for a clipper looking system to move in this weekend. That could bring another shot of flakes our way.
Updates later today, so check back. Make it a great Monday and take care.