Updating The Wintry Mess Moving In

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for a few quick thoughts on the winter storm moving into our region. Rain, sleet, snow and freezing rain are all likely across the state through tonight, with rain and snow lingering through Thursday night.

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for much of the state…

I’ve seen nothing to change my mind from the thoughts I’ve been laying out for the past few days…

Is that going to work our perfectly? No, but it gives you a general idea of how this may play out through tomorrow night.

It’s interesting to note the cold air today is stronger than many of the model forecasts. That will certainly play a role in the precipitation types and may offer up more frozen precipitation. With that cold holding, ground temps and road temps are slipping. Much of this changes to plain old rain by morning.

The various computer models are still hitting the freezing rain potential pretty good. I’m especially noticing an uptick from the Lexington metro to Louisville down the Interstate 65 corridor. We may really need to watch this area..

NAM

Hi Res NAM

The Canadian continues to have a nasty look…

The GFS is much lighter…

Far western Kentucky is still in line for a healthy snowfall with several inches a good bet. The GFS continues to hint at some better snows back into eastern Kentucky late Thursday as the upper level low crashes in from the west…

Upper lows can sometimes become overachievers in terms of snow.

I will get your full tracking tools on later today and will have constant updates on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Here are your radars to track the precipitation in…

Make it a good one and take care.


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12 Responses to Updating The Wintry Mess Moving In

  1. weatherstuff says:

    Will this impact the Wayne/Huntington areas? It looks odd that all the surrounding areas are under a watch but nothing for that area?

  2. Sarah Ladwig says:

    From the look of the radar, it seems the precip will begin earlier than the local stations are reporting..

  3. Joyce says:

    Is it supposed to get above freezing tomorrow afternoon?

  4. Debbie says:

    I have no doubt (as usual!) about Chris’ forecast. I am in East Bardstown, and it is so cold that it BITES, and can actually feel the moisture in the air. When I got up this morning and let the mutts out, there was an icy glaze on our back deck mat;thank goodness for the door handle-and there is still ice on the top of the bucket I store the birdseed in. The sky here is really getting purply-looking like when I was a kid and we were expecting a major snow/ice event. Been a while since I’ve seen that?!

  5. AC says:

    TWC has LEX at 31 with rain tonight. Don’t know about you but rain around here freezes at 32. Ground temps may help. I’ve never seen a weather map look so much like a pink and purple camouflage sweater. It’s as though they really don’t know what is going to happen, thus the catch-all “mix” wording.

    Ice could overachieve in places–not something we want to see. Most concerned about northern and northwestern KY for that as the cold air hangs on longer.

    Overall just a raw deal with this storm for most of us in central and eastern KY.

  6. OhioCATSfan says:

    I’ve been watching the temp in Jackson Ohio all day. Not moved from 33 degrees and it feels way colder than that. Like Chris and the previous poster said the cold area isn’t moving. I wouldn’t be surprised if we get way more ice and snow as predicted. I bet tomorrow will take longer to warm up

  7. Debbie says:

    Sleet/FrRn in Bardstown for about the past 45 minutes. Not little white pellets, but ICE. Tonneau cover on hubby’s truck is ice-covered already. Wind picking up quite a bit as well. Everyone stay safe tonight/tomorrow!

  8. EKY_jm says:

    Sleeting heavily in Carter County at 6:08pm! Definitely coming in earlier than expected.

  9. Mike S says:

    Dropped to 32 degrees now, with light rain after initial moderate sleet. Getting a glaze of ice on grill top and mail box

  10. lay says:

    Look at the RAP and HRRR models they show a ice storm for central kentucky

  11. ohioCATSfan says:

    anything hitting the ohio river line yet?

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