Good Thursday and Happy Valentine’s Day. It’s a very mild and windy day across the Commonwealth, but things look to change in a hurry later Friday. That’s when a rain and snow maker rolls across the region, putting down a swath of light accumulating snow.

Before we get to all that, let’s talk about the big holiday full of hearts. Temps will range from 55-60 in most areas as winds really crank. Gusts of 40mph will be possible from time to time as a cold front rolls in here tonight and early Friday. A few showers will be noted along and ahead of this boundary.

That front slows down across the Tennessee Valley with low pressure rolling to the east along it for late Friday into early Saturday. That system will throw rain and snow across our region, with an increasing threat for accumulating snow.

You can see this system on the GFS…

Yesterday, I made a map outlining the area with the best chance of seeing snow on the ground…

The models have come into pretty good general agreement with the map, but with some slight deviations.

As we get closer to this event, the models are getting a little stronger and snowier. The GFS has some 4″+ snows showing up in a west to east swath…

The new version of the GFS has something similar…

Euro

The Canadian is just now picking up on this system and has it more across the north…

I will have updates later today, including a First Call For Snowfall. Until then, make it a good one and take care.