Weekend Flood and Severe Storms Threat

Good Thursday, folks. We are enjoying a rare mainly dry day across the Commonwealth, but that’s going to change quickly as more rain rolls in. It’s all coming from a potent storm system that will bring more flooding rains our way and may even spawn a few strong to severe storms this weekend.

Skies will feature a mix of sun and clouds today with temps in the 40s north and 50s south. Clouds will thicken this afternoon as a band of rain gets ready to return this evening. That’s mainly impacting the southern half of the state into early Friday. This may put down a half to one inch of rain in a few spots, causing additional high water concerns.

As our plains storm system cranks up late Friday into Saturday, mild winds will surge into the region from the south. This will cause widespread rain and thunderstorms to develop Friday night and early Saturday. As the front moves through Saturday evening, strong to severe storms are even possible.

Obviously, the flood threat is very high with this system. Here’s an early look at how much rain may fall through Sunday morning…

That would be more than enough to cause flooding, with the potential for significant flood issues to develop.

I mentioned the potential for severe storms to develop and that’s a real possibility later Saturday. Here’s the current Saturday Severe Weather Outlook…

The Euro is showing high wind streaks that appear to be coming from severe storms…

Much colder air takes control of the pattern next week. The pattern is favorable for a winter weather event in the first week of March and that continues to show up on some of the models…

Arctic air comes in behind that…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, here are your tracking tools…

Make it a great day and take care.

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10 Responses to Weekend Flood and Severe Storms Threat

  1. Terry says:


    By the numbers:

    Event total is 2.30 in
    Month-to-date is 9.64
    Annual-to-date is 14.96
    Winter-to-date is 22.63

    At the rate things are going, we are on track to reach our average 2019 annual rainfall before the 4th of July IF we continue the overall pattern through summer. INCREDIBLE

  2. Schroeder says:

    Storm rain total : 2.01 inches Taylor County.

  3. feederband says:

    Dang. The NAM 850mb for Saturday looks ugly. Still three days out and things will change somewhat but it could be a rough day for many especially in the evening.

    • Bobt says:

      High winds and a super wet ground could spell disaster for some. I’m hoping for a pattern change and fast. Not liking this rain climate. Need my sunshine..

  4. Jeremy says:

    Am I the only one who scrolls on through the parts that talk about a return to a much colder outlook and winter weather “next week”? “Next week’s return to winter” phrase is worn out. Ready for spring.

    • Prelude says:

      I think most put that on the back burner and have given up on snow and rightfully so. Most are ready for Spring and a break from all this rain.

    • Jamie says:

      The southern flow has persistently wrecked the winter forecasts this year. Cold air has no staying power. The cold air is up there but when it tries to come to us it keeps getting shoved out of the way. That’s just this non-weatherman’s view.

  5. I know phone app weather forecasting is purely automated and driven strictly off the models, so I do take this lightly: the coldest high temp CrackUweather and TWC apps have Lexington is 43 over the next 15 days. I’m ready for spring but I’ll take cold if it dries us out. This is getting rediculous.

  6. Mike S says:

    With a week to go, London already has 3rd wettest February
    Louisville has 9th highest winter season precipitation (Dec-Feb)
    Louisville has 9th wettest February

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