Good Thursday to one and all. Steamy and stormy is a term I’ve used a lot through the years and I’m thinking we should name a dance or a drink after it. I’ll let you guys pick which one, but the term looks appropriate for the pattern ahead of us. It’s a pattern that will feature an increase in storms, temps and humidity levels.
None of that applies to the weather out there today, though. This looks like a pretty darn nice feeling day so get out and take full advantage of it. Still, I can’t rule out a popup shower or storm.
Friday is another fairly nice day as temps inch up a bit. There’s the slightest chance for a late day shower or storm, with a better risk showing up very late Friday night into Saturday…
That’s on the leading edge of some very steamy air coming in from the southwest. Temps around 90 are possible if clouds don’t get in the way, but 90ish looks good for Sunday.
The setup for next week continues to look very steamy and, sometimes, stormy. A system dives in from the northwest early in the week and tries to leave a piece of energy behind. Check out the scattered storm threat from all this…
As all this is happening, the northern Gulf of Mexico starts to come to life. Whether it’s truly tropical or now is still to be determined, but the Gulf may throw some moisture our way late next week into the following weekend…
This wetter than normal trend continues to show up on the 2 week GFS Ensembles rainfall anomalies map…
Enjoy your Thursday and take care.
There is definitely a feedback issue with Florida on the map above. I hope the little donut hole of “average” in SE KY is wrong too as I need me some rain down here.
My sister lives in Florida on the Gulf and she told me that in the Summer months they will have thundershowers every afternoon plus the high humidity will keep her indoors in the air conditioning. Best time of the year is from November through March to visit.
Not an inspiring forecast.
Thanks Chris, Steamy and Stormy could be names for a couple of really HOT chicks. Just kidding I’m really not a dirty old man. LOL
Hope the Gulf of Mexico opens up soon and something tropical develops. The only uncertainly is the moisture going to “ride the ridge” like it has been the last two weeks ?
I have been studying numerous weather maps and it looks like a weather pattern is starting to set up for the coming Fall and Winter. I notice a persistent northwest to southeast flow in the Polar Jet that barely enters the northern US at this time. Staying in Canada and just touching the northeastern states before going out into the Atlantic. Out to our west it looks like a huge ridge is trying to develop. It looks like the map of an ENSO neutral tittering on a La nina Winter. This is not a forecast but my very limited knowledge of an attempt.
Thanks Chris for all you do weather wise..have a question regarding possible precipitation for this Saturday morning in and around Lawrenceburg.. hosting Girls tournament.. what are those rain chance % for Saturday morning through 2:00 pm..thanks again
This coming Saturday is the 50th anniversary of the most powerful hurricane in my lifetime. Hurricane Camille came ashore as a category 5 making landfall near P@ss Christian, Mississippi bringing m@ss devastation. Pressure measured at 900 mb with wind gust to 200 mph and a storm surge of 22-24 feet. On a side note that following Winter was the snowiest Winter and moderately cold well into the month of March. We had a foot of snow on the ground on Christmas Day (1969) and again New Years Day (1970 ) and it was a weak El nino year. All this occurred in southwest Indiana. The late Meteorologist Marcia Yockey was really excited when snow was falling on Christmas Eve and again on New Years Day. Very rare for that part of the state.
Abnormally Dry covers a little bit more of Kentucky’s real estate in the latest Drought Monitor report
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?KY
It looks like a part of western Fayette county has been running a bit dry too.
I would include Taylor County in that category of abnormally dry. The native tree Yellow Popular is showing signs of extreme stress. This is our state tree and right now they are going into a period of premature dormancy. Never seen this happen before so early. We have had drier and hotter Summers than what we experience this Summer and the Poplars never went dormant until October when they turned a golden yellow. A negative sign from nature of things to come ?
I don’t know which variant of Poplar is in my area, but leaves begin to fall by early August , making it one of the first deciduous trees to shed its leaves. It has large, bright shades of red and yellow leaves.
It sounds like the native Yellow Poplar same as I have in the forest next to my home. It would be interesting to get reports from areas that have had adequate rainfall this Summer.
Oh Yes the one and only Marcia Yockey very well remember a legend weather woman here in Western, ky.
Winterlover were you around in 1969-70 when we had that one snowstorm after another all the way through March ? Are the Yellow Poplar trees turning yellow prematurely in your area of western Kentucky ?
I knew I wasn’t crazy and that my Louisville yard is almost ready to catch on fire.
On a side note, anyone had tomato challenges this year. Plants look very healthy, lots of green tomatoes (small though), but not a single rip tomato yet.
Always go with the drink. 😉