The Tropics Flex Some Muscle

Good Thursday, everyone. We have another awesome weather day in store for the region, but the tropics are taking control of the setup in the coming days. This will have an, at least, indirect impact on our weather as we roll through the first week of September.

Temps out there today are pretty awesome so enjoy.

A weak cold front drops into the state from the north late Friday into Saturday and could hang around into Sunday. That doesn’t have very much moisture with it, but it could produce a shower or thunderstorm during this time. The best chance is across the northern half of the state…

That front may also mean a bit of a temperature gradient setting up from north to south, depending on just how far south it can get.

That may be determined by Hurricane Dorian as it continues to on collision course with Florida. This is now forecast to become a major hurricane making landfall in the Sunshine State over Labor Day Weekend…

cone graphic

Here are the latest Hurricane Models…

The GFS Ensembles forecast tracks…ThatThat

That could be a devastating hit for Florida from the east, with even a potential second landfall if it can emerge over the eastern Gulf. Obviously, the farther west it gets, the better the chance it would have of impacting our weather next week.

Some of the operational models are close…



Temps ahead of landfalling tropical systems can get pretty steamy around here, so that’s certainly something to watch for early next week.

Have a great day and take care.

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10 Responses to The Tropics Flex Some Muscle

  1. MarkLex says:

    Since the post a few days ago…….does anyone know how Coffeelady is doing? I hope she’s ok. She certainly isn’t missing anything exciting in the weather department.

  2. Schroeder says:

    Last I read from a post from her daughter on the 23rd of August that she was recovering but had a long way to go for total recovery. Everyone continue to pray for her and her family.

  3. Schroeder says:

    If Chris doesn’t mind me telling you all that the late Meteorologist Marcia Yockey always said on her TV weather forecast ” if there is a Hurricane in the Atlantic our weather we have now will remain as is ” In this mornings forecast for the next seven days it is more of the same. I don’t know how she got almost every forecast right. She must of had a gift from God for forecasting the weather especially snowstorms.

  4. Schroeder says:

    Autumn is upon us September first and the only long range forecast I can find is a continuation of Summer. I don’t know about all of you but I’ve had enough, although this morning it is really nice. Enjoy this morning as this afternoon it will be back in the upper 80’s which anymore feels hot to me.

  5. Schroeder says:

    My sister who lives in Florida on the Gulf side called me yesterday evening about where I thought Hurricane Dorian would make landfall. I told her that I don’t know but the storm is to become a Major Hurricane and could produce buckets of rain in her area of Florida. I don’t think the Hurricane Center will know until sometime late Friday ?

    • Schroeder says:

      Adding to the above, still the strongest and most devastating Hurricane during my lifetime was Hurricane Camille in August 1969.

      • AC says:

        For me it’s a tie going to Katrina and Andrew as being the most devastating in my lifetime. (I was born in the 80’s.)

        • Schroeder says:

          I wish I was that young again. I just don’t fit into the 21st century with all the technology we have now. I had a great childhood growing up in the 1950’s and early 60’s. It seemed like everyone was happier back then and it snowed more during the Winter.

          • AC says:

            I believe technology has changed people–but that’s for another time.

            We’ve got folks right in front of us on the phone or computer screen we can’t pull away from, but people and other important things right in front of us we barely pay attention to.

            There are benefits and disadvantages to the technology generation. In the 50’s and 60’s you used your imagination to be entertained. Now it’s all you can do to not be flooded with information and constantly have things pushed in your face. Boundaries, man. They just don’t seem to exist anymore. *sigh*

  6. Schroeder says:

    Terry, Harlan coming in at a temperature of 52 degrees lowest reading in the state. Taylor county reading of 55 degrees according to the Mesonet.

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