Tracking Hurricane Dorian and Local Changes

Good Monday and Happy Labor Day. It’s all eyes on this historic Hurricane Dorian and where it goes over the next few days. This storm became one of the strongest hurricanes on record and has areas from Florida to North Carolina on red alert.

I will get to Dorian in a bit, but let’s start with what’s going on here in Kentucky.  A weak cold front is dropping in from the northwest today, bringing a scattering of showers and thunderstorms. Just like the past few days, this action won’t be widespread, but a couple of cookout crashers will rumble through.

Here are your tracking tools…

Tuesday looks like a very warm and windy day ahead of a cold front dropping in here on Wednesday. That should bring a broken line of showers and storms in here. Temps behind this will drop quickly with lows deep into the 50s by Thursday morning. The NAM even shows a few upper 40s…

What happens after this depends on the exact movement of Hurricane Dorian. As mentioned, this storm hit historic levels on Sunday as it ripped into the Bahamas. The satellite shot of this storm continues to amaze…

Dorian continues to slowly head toward the Florida coast, but should gradually turn northward over the next few days. That will bring it up the coast and toward the Carolinas later in the week. Here’s the latest specifics and track forecast from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

Here are the latest Hurricane Model forecasts…

The GFS Ensembles…

The overnight GFS showed a terrible scenario of a storm running the east coast of Florida into the Carolinas then sideswiping the northeast…

A shot of cool comes in after Dorian finally gets out of the way, but the extent of that is yet to be determined.

Happy Labor Day and take care.

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18 Responses to Tracking Hurricane Dorian and Local Changes

  1. Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

    It looks like a long extended dry spell coming to the commonwealth.

    • MarkLex says:

      In other words…no changes. LOL
      This past August was the epitome of August weather. My very reason for it being my least favorite weather month. I hope Sept changes things up.

      • Which Way Is the Wind Blowing says:

        I do not know this for sure but I think Sept. is usually the driest month in KY.
        I would not mind a splash of rain water once a week.

        • MarkLex says:

          I don’t know why, but I feel like since I’ve lived here most of the time Sept ends up being more wet than August. I remember one of the longest-lasting thunderstorms I ever remember was in Sept……I think it was 2006. It was like a 2-hour downburst and it was around midnight. It was when I think 2 people drowned at UK and I think 7 inches of rain or something close to that.

        • Schroeder says:

          October is our driest month.

    • Schroeder says:

      It’s beginning to look like a heavy crop lost here in Taylor County and throughout the Farm lands in north central Kentucky south. Very sad year for those who farm for a living.

  2. feederband says:

    Dorian was stationary for quite some time overnight. What a nightmare for those affected.

  3. Winterlover says:

    Thanks Chris what a great video of Doran at a night time to day light. Amazing shot of what’s taking place.

  4. Mike S says:

    I know everyone has a right to voice their opinion, but I will lose my ever-freakin mind if I hear complainers asking, “why did they have to evacuate so many along the southeast coastline? You know, people are just getting too soft these days.” (smh)

    • Schroeder says:

      It’s because of that ever-freakin weather model shows Hurricane Dorian going away from the Florida’s east coast and heading north just off the coastline.

  5. Jeff Hamlin says:

    I hope CB is ready for the obligatory defamation of his character from some commenters when it really dries out.

    • Mike S says:

      It seems you’re the first to know that it’s going to dry out. Thanks for the heads-up.

    • Schroeder says:

      Defamatory remarks are common on this blog. Just look at yesterday’s blog. I should have not payed any attention and realized this commentator was trying to start an argument between the two of us, which interrupts others who want to discuss the weather intelligently. For now and this day forward I elect to ignore them and not give them the attention they want. Then they will go away.

      • Schroeder says:

        Schroeder you tell more freaking lies than Pinocchio. It’s literally comical, I have yet to see you follow through with anything you say.

      • Carol Parkey says:

        What are you yapping about!? This site has become the All Schroeder All the Time blog. You have comments, corrections, opinions, over reactions and pontifications about everything and weather. Just HUSH.

  6. Winterlover says:

    Mike S let me ask you a question that is what if you were living on the east coast what would you do.? Dorian has already tore up the island of Bahamas and this hurricane has become a slow crawl that it will devastate the east part of Florida and the up states of coastal areas. This hurricane is scary one that no one knows what it going to once it hit the coastal line. May God be bless with the people that’s going to be effective.

    • Mike S says:

      I would follow the evacuation order. I think it’s a great idea that these areas have already been told to get out of the coastal areas. But, if the storm continues to weaken, you will see commenters on here asking “Why? People are getting too soft these days for leaving so soon.” Just like the ones who were crying foul because Excessive Heat warnings were issued when many of us did not reach the criteria. Why? “Because people are becoming too soft” was their complaint. Even if such warnings/evacuations may be overdone, I applaud the safety aspect, because putting it bluntly, people need a good wake-up jolt, unlike some who choose to use all of their free time poking fun and denigrating those responsible for providing us important information. I do believe some should have advocated a more responsible stand, despite the exaggerations.

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