Good afternoon, everyone. Winds of greater than 50mph continue to cause all kinds of issues across the region. Thankfully, the winds are calming down and the temps are coming down. As we go through the main part of the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, we are busy tracking a bigger storm system heading our way.
Clouds will work into northern and northeaster Kentucky tonight as colder air filters in. There’s even the chance for a snowflake or two in those areas.
The temperature trend is down for Thanksgiving and Black Friday. Check out the seasonally chilly numbers…
There’s the chance for a Thanksgiving shower or two in the west, then the threat for late Friday rains across the entire region.
Showers and a few thunderstorms increase quickly on Saturday with heavy rains a good bet. Winds will also be gusty as temps spike ahead of our massive plains storm system. This cuts eastward across the Ohio Valley then redevelops along the east coast and then runs up the coast.
Behind this comes a major temp drop with late Sunday light rain and light snow becoming widespread from the northwest. Light snow gives way to snow showers and squalls Sunday night and Monday as the Great Lakes throw some moisture our way. Light accumulations are a good bet across parts of central and eastern Kentucky.
Ride the Canadian, folks…
The GFS just cannot figure this thing out because it can’t slow things down enough. Remember, this is the “upgraded” version of the GFS and it’s showing itself to be much more progressive than the version it replaced…
Bless its heart.
Once this storm goes through, watch the northwest flow for something to dive in by the middle of next week.
Make it a great day and take care.
I’ll be watching the NW flow and *hoping* for at least a clipper that puts down a decent little snow to start December. Thanks, Chris. And the “bless its heart” gave me a smile. 🙂
LeeAnn
I don’t see any serious snowfall for the next 10 days. Although I’m sure some will preach that 1″ is serious stuff. It happens when we have been geared toward lesser snowfall amounts and have to surrender to the idea that 1″ of snow excites us just as much as the 10″ amounts.
I’m trying to compare the GEM and GFS runs. From this far out, I do not see anything statistically significant that merits a progressive super bias of the GFS. Looking at placement of low pressure, except for typical feedback, at 18z Monday, distance between the two points, from the GEM and GFS runs, is not that great. And we’re still 5 days out. As ‘they’ always say, the storm has not even come on shore yet. Better sampling then, right?
Currently 70 degrees in Charleston WV. I didn’t think we were done with the 70’s this year. If the last several Winters are any indication, we will probably see more 60’s and perhaps 70. Than we do accumulating snow.
We have had plenty of 60s and 70s in December through February over the past several winters. I hope for a different winter this year but even Chris’s forecast includes plenty of rollercoaster temps. At the point, my hope is simply for an average season of total snowfall. I have an inch on the new season and Harlan averages around 15 inches a season (valley). Last three seasons combined would fall short of average total, so here is to wanting an inch next week to help out us towards the mark, lol!
Sad that I am excited for Monday?!!
Looks dreadfully mild after mid next week:(
I am not much better off. What has been disappointing other than the big storm misses is the famous northwest flow. It has been pathetic. That flow and the lake effect used to provide my area with most of our accumulation. But anymore we barely squeeze an inch out of these systems. And most of the clippers produce mostly rain with backside flurries.
In LouMetro the highest wind gust at my house occurred about ten minutes ago. Wow. Thought the gazebo was taking flight.