Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We are on guard for some light freezing rain early tomorrow across the valleys of eastern Kentucky. This kicks off a super busy weekend with two more systems ready to impact our weather with a mixed bag of weather.

Watch for the icy glaze potential if you’re going to be traveling in the morning across the eastern half of the state. I’m a little surprised there isn’t a precautionary Winter Weather Advisory for this area because just a small amount of freezing rain can lead to big issues. Actually I’m not surprised. Carry on. 🙂

As the second system works in here Saturday and may have just enough cold air for a pocket or two of some snow. The NAM keeps showing this…

Other models aren’t as enthused with those pockets of snow, through. Still, it’s a pretty ugly looking day.

This brings us to the Sunday-Monday storm system. This looks to come at us in two waves. The first arrives later Sunday and should be in the form of rain, snow and a mix as it spreads from west to east. Then, the main low rolls across eastern Kentucky into West Virginia. The model temp profiles are still a work in progress with this.

Here’s the Euro…

That’s a pretty flat looking system as it takes the path we talked about. Don’t get too caught up yet on exact precipitation types as the models try to figure out the thermal profiles.

The ICON Model can only show rain or snow and can’t show any kind of mix, sleet or freezing rain. It’s the flattest model …

Then there’s the GFS still being the strongest and farthest north and west. Still, the model is slowly coming south and east…

I’ll update things later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

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10 Responses to Thursday Evening Update

  1. Mark says:

    It seems like most other mets and even the SPC with their risk of severe thunderstorms into KY on Monday are riding the GFS train. It amazes me the loyal following that model still has. Even though it’s an American model, there’s nothing unpatriotic by not following it. Despite it’s upgrades, the Euro and Canadian are still superior to the GFS.

    On another note, too bad we don’t have more cold air in place for the tomorrow and Saturday system. If so, most of KY would get a nice snowfall.

    • BubbaG says:

      End result is almost certainly mainly cold rain, so no harm no foul 😉

      So far, not seeing anything to get snow pumped about. Outlooks are not even baiting with much snow so far.

  2. A Cawood says:

    Can Mother Nature please give us some snow! I wanna build a snowman.

  3. Andy Rose says:

    I luv rain

  4. Russell says:

    Yep another rain train for WKY just like this past winter.

  5. SkiWi says:

    Choo Choo…all aboard the Rain Train!

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