Tracking Some Snow Then Wild Weather

Good Tuesday, folks. It’s a quick-hitting blast of winter hitting parts of central and eastern Kentucky this morning and that’s likely to cause a few travel issues. As conditions improve later today, we focus on wild weather for late this week and into the weekend. It’s a very stormy setup that can bring high water issues.

Let’s start with the morning snow and roll ahead. A corridor of a few inches of wet snow will be likely, but this won’t be terrible widespread. With temps at or just above freezing, this will be a wet snow that may fall hard enough to cause slick roads for a bit. A few inches of snow will be possible in this narrow band…

Here’s a look at the Winter Weather Advisory for the morning…

Here’s your regional radar to track the action…

Whatever snow falls will melt away pretty quickly this afternoon as sunny skies return and temps reach the 40s.

Wednesday is a chilly, but sunny day and you should probably soak it up because things go downhill from there. This is a setup we have been highlighting for a while now and it looks ugly through next week. Here’s a breakdown:

  • Scattered showers and storms develop on Thursday and this action will increase into Friday, especially across central and western Kentucky.
  • Rounds of showers and storms then work in from Friday night through Saturday night, bringing a flood and flash flood risk.
  • Several inches of rain may fall across western and central Kentucky.
  • A few strong to severe storms will be possible on Saturday.
  • High winds of greater than 50mph will be possible Saturday and Saturday night.
  • Near record high temps are possible on Saturday, especially across eastern Kentucky. That’s where temps can reach 70.
  • After a break on Sunday, another heavy rain and thunderstorm maker looks to return for Monday and Tuesday. Another system may follow that up a few days later.

I mentioned the winds as being a big time player. Check out the forecast gusts…

EURO

GFS

I will have updates later today, so check back. I leave you with some snow tracking cams…

Richmond

Winchester

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Pikeville

Pine Mountain

Morehead

Mt. Vernon

Corbin

Make it a good one and take care.


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14 Responses to Tracking Some Snow Then Wild Weather

  1. Terry says:

    Just what a figured, heavy rain only in Harlan. They just put out the Advisory in my county due to the high elevations. I knew the temps and track of the low weren’t there. Oh well, adding on rainfall for January.

    CHOO CHOO!

  2. Terry says:

    And…that is what this winter is diminished to thus far: Two to five counties in the state only get 1 to 3 inches at a time while everyone else watches.

    I had mine in December and that may be it. So far, only far SE KY and East TN (December), parts of West and Central KY (November) and East Central KY (today), far Norhern KY (mid December) have seen a 1 to 3 inch snowfall. No one except Pine or Black Mt (peaks only) have seen over 3 inches and some of the state and neighboring states haven’t seen an inch yet!

    • Jimbo says:

      So sad for you. Nothing going on in my area as of 6:30. After looking at the snowfall models last night. I thought it might miss both of us, north of you and south of me. My temp has climbed about 5 degrees since midnight. So I can’t rule out rain, if any precip. Even makes it to me.

      • Terry says:

        Sad for everyone (so far). Overall through Jan 7th, we as an area whole are doing worse than last year, but certain spots (my location included) are a tiny bit ahead of last year but more than half have had less so far to date. February or early March better bring it or this is a top 5 warmest, snowless winter for sure.

        A PALM TREE WINTER, LOL

  3. Schroeder says:

    Sorry, everyone in southeast Kentucky didn’t get the forecast of snow, but maybe some in the higher elevations ? Glad to have read all the post since my absence due to a bout of illness. Most everyone seems to be giving up on Winter including myself. Hopefully, we will see one or two of those surprise heavy wet snows latter. Enjoy all of everyone’s comments. Chris Bailey, keep up the great job on your blog !

  4. BubbaG says:

    Everything is relative. Some have a chance of a coating and others more likely. LOL

    Higher elevations equals winning!

    • Prelude says:

      No higher elevations doesn’t not equal winning! Plenty of snow lovers that want to see snow in there own backyard. Excluding myself.

  5. Bobt says:

    It’s odd that most of the time Kentucky has to end up with a surprise snow while other areas can have it forecasted a week out. Bailey is pretty good at sniffing out a trend in the models and saying there is a chance, but odd that the models just can’t seem to latch on to a snow threat here . Would be nice to go into a week knowing it’s going to snow instead of having to model watch right up to the event.

  6. Bjenks says:

    Meh!!!! Can’t wait to get out of this funky pattern.

  7. Mr.Peabody says:

    Looking at modeling there may be hope around the 20th for a change.EPS/GEPS is the most encouraging with the GEFS slowly coming around.Pacific looks good with a trough in the East.Know it’s long range but that’s all we got to keep our hopes up.All one can do is monitor and hope there right.

  8. Joyce says:

    Plz no tornado weather this next weekend into next week!!!!!

  9. Lucy says:

    It’s winter. Would prefer snow rather than rain. Love a good rain during spring or summer- not winter. Come back snowstorms, you are missed!

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