Good Friday afternoon. What a nasty day we have going on out there for much of the state. Rounds of showers and thundershowers will continue to roll across the state this weekend as we get set to switch the pattern toward winter.
The change begins Monday as a strong cold front moves through here. A 30 degree temp drop will be likely behind this front as gusty winds crank up. The models are sniffing out the wave of low pressure idea along this front as it moves across the state.
NAM
GFS
The models are getting more aggressive with each run on this secondary low idea. Some models even suggest another low popping to our east Tuesday and Wednesday.
Let’s see what they settle on over the weekend, but the low ups the chances for a period of light snow as the cold air swoops in.
If you are a model watcher, you will notice how they are all showing a fairly potent storm late next week into the following weekend. You are now seeing the models getting a better grasp on the overall wintry pattern that’s setting up. 😉
I said we were going to start having a little more fun and one way I want to do that is through the gift of music. Give me some ideas on obscure or silly Christmas videos and I will post them here. I’ll get the party started…
I will have another update later today. Enjoy the rain and take care.
You’re the best party weather dude EVE-A!!
From the 15th on looks interesting….I know it’s the Op gfs long range but there are other models,ensembles hinting at good things to come in the second half of December.. We shall see…
Wow. 12z NAM lookin’ good for western TN!
nice warm sunny and breezy
If Tennessee gets a better snow chance out of this that is not a good sign for central KY snow dome area!
Thanks, Chris. Looks like an interesting setup for sure. I am liking the colder temps that are coming in. Makes it seem more Christmasy somehow. As far as the silly christmas stuff, don’t know if there is a video, but if you can find the song “The Twelve Pains of Christmas” by Twisted Christmas, its a good one! Have a great Friday evening, everyone, and thanks, Chris, for all you do.
The 18z nam for Monday evening shows the secondary low. Could get interesting fit central and eastern ky. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/nam/20121207/18/nam_namer_075_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif
Cold rain maybe
Oh, come on now Andy! 😉
Well, he does have many years of results on his side as far as central is concerned. The only systems that have not went bust are the clipper systems from the north. Post 1998 have been a big zero. Unless ice.
“for”, not “fit”. Rolo effetct 😉
Rolo usually lets his goat do the typing 🙂
Though winter was more a big event bust than normal, Rolo made it great with his Rolocoaster posts. One post up, one post down. Rolo rocks!
GFS shows it also.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/gfs/20121207/18/gfs_namer_075_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif
Not cold enough James