A Mild Start To A Cold Week

Good Monday to one and all. Temps today will finally begin to warm and that’s the good news. The bad news… the rest of the week turns much colder than normal. We have a busy pattern shaping up to go along with the cold air that pushes back in later tonight.

Temps today will hit the low and mid 50s on a gusty southwesterly wind. That wind is ahead of a strong cold front that will send clouds spreading eastward this afternoon. Widespread showers will follow the clouds late this evening into the overnight.

That’s when the front works eastward into Tuesday morning. Much colder air will filter in behind the gusty front and this will change the rain over to a period of light snow and snow showers from west to east…

GFS

There’s the chance for a minor accumulation for some areas. Tuesday will be a very windy and cold day with readings in the low and middle 30s.

Wednesday will be cold with teens to start and upper 20s and low 30s for highs… even with some sunshine.

The next storm system will roll into town on Thursday. Cold air will be in place as precipitation moves in and that may set the stage for a little bit of everything to fall from the sky. Snow, rain, sleet and freezing rain all show up on the GFS…GFS 3

Much of that should change to plain old rain by later Thursday night and Friday, but it bears watching.

This pattern continues to be loaded with storms and that should take us through the rest of the month and into early March. The next one showing up on the models is late this weekend and early next week…

EuroOne of these systems over the next few weeks is likely to blow up into a monster.

Have a great Monday and take care.


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50 Responses to A Mild Start To A Cold Week

  1. Israel says:

    I’ve been seeing the trends lately and its showing a lot of potential for a storm to brew up for Kentucky. I’m not talking about a specific kind, it could be rain or snow (wishful thinking?) I want spring already but models aren’t showing it quite yet. Guess we’ll have to wait.

  2. Festus says:

    Tulips starting to break through at my house. Bring on spring, all we need is a little warmer weather, we’ve had the spring showers for 3 months now…. What a poor excuse for winter.

  3. BubbaG says:

    I see CB’s point now. Since we are not getting enough ingredients in place for a good snow, the coatings and mix events are at best, annoying. Bad news it seems indeed. Hey, we have the Cats to look forward to through to spring! ;) :( Well, at least the lady Cats are playing like a team :) Go Lady Cats!

  4. Bobt says:

    I would like to fast forward to mid-March weather. Winter 2012-13 = cold and dry or warm and rain. Can’t get anything accomplished outside because every decent day has been greeted with rain. Hopefully CB’s station is wrong with the weekend weather. They are giving 40 and everyone else 49+.

  5. troy says:

    This has been the most miserable winter that I can remember, IMO. It, literally has not gone more than 2 days at a time without rain since early December. The only scenario that could have been worse would have been constant ice storms. When summer finally arrives and it turns hot and dry (looking forward to that), I don’t want to hear the first person complain that their precious garden is drying up and “we need rain”……I’ll remind you of this winter and tell you that’s what a water hose is for……

  6. Junior-From BFE says:

    It’s goin two bee a warm summer four sore. Bettin we hit 100 more thane ten times

  7. E-TownKY says:

    Hmmm…let’s see…NAO going negative, PNA going positive, AO going negative. Sounds like some fun to come.

    Thanks Chris. I can understand the switch to spring mode, I’m looking forward to planting things myself, but I am also hoping for a last hurrah before then. After this cold shot winter should be on its way out so I’m gonna enjoy it whatever may come. :)

  8. Clay county says:

    Chris, will southeastern KY see any chances of snow on the ground Tues. night?

    • Andy Rose says:

      you recently move to KY ? j/k i would say there is a 5% chance of snow being on the ground and the only reason i’m giving 5 is if there is a miracle happens

  9. unclesi says:

    hey nothing I type is posting … hey what’s going

    • which way is the wind blowing says:

      I learned the hard way after I wrote a long negative rant about this states climate. I forgot to use the copy and paste method.

  10. Todd says:

    Even below normal temps will not support snow this time of year with normal approaching 50 now, One week from friday is march 1st spring time as the calendar goes, bring it on and lets put this ugly winter behind us!

  11. Lincoln says:

    I would rather skip spring and the summer. Lets head straight to fall.

  12. james says:

    GFS is singing the song “ice, ice baby” for Thur night. That’s the only thing worse than a cold rain.

  13. Les says:

    What exactly do you mean by “one of these systems over the next few weeks is likely to blow up into a monster?”

  14. Russ says:

    Very boring year so far locally. Other than an icing event in southern Kentucky back in January, this Fall and Winter has been relatively quiet. And, really, other than record breaking heat last summer, the last “headline” event was the March 2012 tornado outbreak. I think “extreme” weather is taking a bit of a break.

  15. Snowluv says:

    Wow, models r horrible even with temps now. Already almost 10 degree higher than expected in s indiana.

    I guess doesn’t matter how much tech u have. Weather is never predictable.

  16. Jeff Hamlin says:

    Bubba, instead of fencetucky, it should be called mixtucky. What do you think? :)

    • BubbaG says:

      Sadly, both work. Don’t be surprised if CB moves to a market with more snow chances. Even for positive folks like CB this must seem very Dark Side.

      • Coffeelady says:

        BubbaG, I will NOT go completly to the Dark Side, but I WILL tell you that it is tempting. and yes, I agree, the Lady Cats are playing like a team. So we do have one team to pull for. Also, spring football game should be good this year. So, things do look up as we move on through winter. Only thing is, when we least expect it (and want it) we will get that fence buster…you wait and see what I tell you. (Not saying this year, but, it will happen) I hate to give up but to borrow the words of that famous character in “A Christmas Carol” ” nght is waining fast and time is precious to me.” ;)
        And Chris, dont’ you get any ideas about leaving us for snowier climes….we mighthave to abduct you if you were to do that! ;)

  17. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks, Chris. Guess we are going to be on the wrong end of the snow stick again. You know you are not living right when a baseball game gets snowed out in Spartenburg, SC, and we get nada! ;) Oh, well…hae a great MOnday, everyone…(what’s left of it, anyway.)

    • Scully says:

      I know it’s weird isn’t it? I have a friend in Arizona who is expecting several inches of snow tonight and my kids played outside today in the sunshine. something ain’t right here. :)

  18. Tominlou says:

    Those pixelated GFS snow/rain maps are the worst. In other words, whenever they are posted, expect the exact opposite to occur.

  19. WendyT says:

    Oh boy! More cold, miserable rain! Can’t wait…….

  20. Todd says:

    We get to watch another major winter storm form NWest of us this week while we bask in the tropics known as a KY modern winter, I will go out on a strong limb here and say beyond a day or two cool down with a flurry thrown in here or their this so called winter is done!

  21. Joie says:

    Thought some of you would enjoy this tweet:

    “@TheSurlyDeacon: Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me 365, you’re the weatherman.”

  22. Chris Mercer says:

    Another 60 degree day in February–wow! If the last two winters are indicative of the future of the Kentucky Winter, i say BRING IT ON!

  23. Mike says:

    What a terrible winter.

  24. Mike says:

    Anyone remember this: General Butler State Resort Park is a park located near Carrollton, Kentucky in Carroll County. …The park formerly hosted a ski area, Ski Butler!, which opened in 1982.[1] It has since closed.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Butler_State_Resort_Park

    No comment!

  25. Snowluv says:

    These models have been consistently over doing the cold air catching the back edge of the precip and going over to snow for a period.
    I can tell u 100% that will again not be the case by observing the radar trend.

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