Daily Archives: February 1, 2019

Time posted: 7:37 pm

Friday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Our winter weather system caused all kinds of travel issues earlier in the day, but now it’s full steam ahead toward much milder air. As the pattern turns milder, the potential is also there for quite a bit of rain rolling through before the cold can crash back in.

In terms of tonight, dense fog and black ice will be an issue for several areas. Keep that in mind if you’re going to be out travelling into early Saturday.

Saturday looks much better, but may be a slow starter in the north. Highs reach the low and middle 50s south, with middle 40s in the north.

Southwest winds will increase on Sunday, boosting temps toward 60 for many areas. This air is a sign of things to come as we star around 60 or better into the middle of next week. This setup will also come with a wet price, with showers returning as early as Monday.

From there, we will be seeing a boundary slowing down across our region, allowing waves of low pressure to develop along it. Exactly where that sets up remains to be seen. The new version of the GFS continues with a colder look, allowing for a quicker return of winter weather by the end of the week into the weekend…

The other models have slowed that down a little bit, allowing for a lot of rain to fall. The GFS rainfall through the next week…

The next two weeks total…

The average 2 week rain numbers from the 21 member GFS Ensembles…

I suspect all those numbers are way too high because the model is underestimating the strength of the cold pushing back into the country. Still, it’s a super active February through March taking shape. That will likely mean quite a bit more winter weather for our region.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

19 Comments

Time posted: 3:03 am

Tracking Winter Weather To Begin February

Good Friday and welcome to the month of February. We are kicking off the month with a touch of snow and ice across parts of the bluegrass state. This action is fairly light, but it’s having an impact on the early day commute. Once we get through this, we have a milder setup on the way, before more winter weather works back in.

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for much of the state to start the day…

Light accumulations of snow and freezing rain will cause slick travel conditions, so be prepared for that if you have to be driving early on. Here’s regional radar tracking the action.

I will have your traffic cams in a bit.

Let’s talk about the pattern coming in after this. Milder air will surge in for the weekend, which looks pretty good as a whole. Highs on Saturday may hit 50, with a 60 waiting in the wings for Sunday. Winds will be super gusty, but it’s a milder wind from the southwest.

That same southwest wind will cause an increase in moisture, leading to an increase in rain and some rumbles of thunder as early as Monday. Locally heavy rains are possible from Monday through Wednesday as our temps stay very mild. Rainfall numbers continue to increase during this time.

GFS

Canadian

An arctic front then moves in later in the week. At the same time, waves of low pressure may try and develop along the boundary near our region. That could bring winter weather back in here. The Euro continues to show the possibility…

I will have updates later today. Until then, here are your traffic cams to show how road conditions are looking…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

-75/I-64 Southern Split Lexington


Georgetown


I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Pine Mountain

Jenkins

Florence

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Covington

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Louisville

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E-town

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Bowling Green

Paducah

Make it a good one and take care.

48 Comments