Daily Archives: February 1, 2019

Time posted: 7:37 pm

Friday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Our winter weather system caused all kinds of travel issues earlier in the day, but now it’s full steam ahead toward much milder air. As the pattern turns milder, the potential is also there for quite a bit of rain rolling through before the cold can crash back in.

In terms of tonight, dense fog and black ice will be an issue for several areas. Keep that in mind if you’re going to be out travelling into early Saturday.

Saturday looks much better, but may be a slow starter in the north. Highs reach the low and middle 50s south, with middle 40s in the north.

Southwest winds will increase on Sunday, boosting temps toward 60 for many areas. This air is a sign of things to come as we star around 60 or better into the middle of next week. This setup will also come with a wet price, with showers returning as early as Monday.

From there, we will be seeing a boundary slowing down across our region, allowing waves of low pressure to develop along it. Exactly where that sets up remains to be seen. The new version of the GFS continues with a colder look, allowing for a quicker return of winter weather by the end of the week into the weekend…

The other models have slowed that down a little bit, allowing for a lot of rain to fall. The GFS rainfall through the next week…

The next two weeks total…

The average 2 week rain numbers from the 21 member GFS Ensembles…

I suspect all those numbers are way too high because the model is underestimating the strength of the cold pushing back into the country. Still, it’s a super active February through March taking shape. That will likely mean quite a bit more winter weather for our region.

Enjoy your evening and take care.