Daily Archives: February 5, 2019

Time posted: 7:50 pm

Flash Flood Watch

Good evening, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms will crank up and target the region over the next few days. For this reason, a Flood Watch is out for most of Kentucky.

Here’s a look at the watch…

Areas not in that watch need to also be on guard for some high water issues as the axis of heaviest rain continues to focus a little farther south. The new GFS is showing enough rain to cause some big issues…

This looks like a general 2″-4″ rainfall for many, but locally higher amounts may show up in some spots…

In addition to the flood threat, a few of the storms may become strong or severe. The SPC has a Marginal Risk out for the western half of the state…

Near record highs will crash from west to east behind the front Thursday night. Readings are in the 20s by Friday morning with a period of light snow and flurries working through.

The next system targets the region late this weekend into early next week. The models go back and forth on how to handle this, but the late day GFS trended colder…

The New GFS is also snowier and colder…

I leave you with the tools you need to track an increase in showers and storms…

Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:18 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. A front is draped across the region and is bringing a healthy temperature gradient with it. As this boundary slows down and slowly goes back north, rounds of showers and thunderstorms are going to crank along and south of it. This is a setup that is likely to throw down a lot of rain over the next few days.

This front is already touching off some scattered action this afternoon. As we head into the evening, watch for showers and storms to increase…

The heaviest rains come Wednesday through Thursday, leading to the potential for flooding issues to develop. The WPC continues to include the region in the risk area…

The trend of the models is to sink a bit south with the highest rain totals. Notice how the GFS is more widespread with the 2″-5″ rains…

Given the fact that thunderstorms are in the mix, locally higher amounts will certainly be possible. Those numbers would be enough to cause high water issues in many areas.

Speaking of thunderstorms, there’s the chance for a few strong to severe storms. The Storm Prediction Center has parts of central and western Kentucky in the Marginal Risk for severe storms on Wednesday…

Thursday is another day that could spawn a few strong or severe storms as our front blasts in from the west. Temps ahead of this front may hit 70-75 in the central and east, with a MAJOR temp crash coming behind the front….

From 70 to the teens… That sounds about right!

A quick-hitting band of light snow is possible as temps crash Thursday night and early Friday.

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and here on KWC this evening. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:09 am

High Water Threat Ahead

Good Tuesday, everyone. A front is in the process of stalling out across the region and that will become the focal point for rounds of showers and storms. This action may lead to high water issues late Wednesday and Thursday. It’s also a setup that can take us from record highs to snowflakes in just a few hours time.

Today will feature scattered showers, with an outside chance for a rumble of thunder. The best chance for some of that thunder may wait until late today into the evening…

Our stalled front will really kick up some showers and storms as Wednesday rolls on. This will carry us through Thursday night, bringing the potential for flooding rains.

Check out some of the numbers…

Euro

GFS

Canadian

A few strong storms will also be possible on Thursday.

Temperatures on Thursday have a chance to get a little crazy in central and eastern Kentucky. Low and middle 70s are possible if we can get just a few breaks in the clouds. As the front plows through Thursday night, temps drop into the upper 20s and low 30s within just a few hours. That can also lead to a brief period of light snow…

Seasonally cold air filters in for Friday and Saturday, with additional systems moving our way from Sunday into early next week. The models differ on how to play these.

The new GFS continues to advertise much colder solutions…

The GFS does not…

The Euro is also sniffing something out…

Check out what follows that on the Euro…

That’s a lot of winter!

I will have updates later today so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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