Good evening, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms will crank up and target the region over the next few days. For this reason, a Flood Watch is out for most of Kentucky.
Here’s a look at the watch…
Areas not in that watch need to also be on guard for some high water issues as the axis of heaviest rain continues to focus a little farther south. The new GFS is showing enough rain to cause some big issues…
This looks like a general 2″-4″ rainfall for many, but locally higher amounts may show up in some spots…
In addition to the flood threat, a few of the storms may become strong or severe. The SPC has a Marginal Risk out for the western half of the state…
Near record highs will crash from west to east behind the front Thursday night. Readings are in the 20s by Friday morning with a period of light snow and flurries working through.
The next system targets the region late this weekend into early next week. The models go back and forth on how to handle this, but the late day GFS trended colder…
The New GFS is also snowier and colder…
I leave you with the tools you need to track an increase in showers and storms…
Make it a good one and take care.
Thanks Chris. Guess everyone is watching the game, but I am watching the weather. This early to have the possibility of severe weather is just not the norm. And remember the old adage…… if it thunders in February it will frost in May….and it will! 2-4 inches of rain is something we just don’t need. But I reckon it don’t matter. Probably a good thing we are NOT in control of the weather….. have a good
evening everyone!
So, the Watch is a flood watch, not a flash flood watch (as title is named)? There is a difference in terminology
A general Flood Watch is issued when a prolonged period of rain leads to flooding issues.
A Flash Flood Watch is issued when (primarily caused by thunderstorms during the spring, summer, and autumn) brief periods of torrential rainfall causes rapid onset of flooding problems.
This should technically be a Flood Watch, not a Flash Flood Watch
Hard to believe it’s been exactly eleven years since the Super Tuesday outbreak of February 5-6 2008. Nearly 90 tornadoes (including several EF4s) occurred mainly in Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas and Alabama.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Super_Tuesday_tornado_outbreak
We’re also only a few days away from the anniversary of the infamous 1994 ice storm that brought much tree and power utility destruction to southern Kentucky and much of Tennessee among other states. Some rural areas of Mississippi didn’t get their power back for almost a month.
Thanks Mark. I remember it well. Link was very good.
Looks like more rain and backside flurries for the foreseeable future.
https://www.wkyt.com/content/news/WKYT-Chief-Meteorologist-Chris-Bailey-unveils-his-Winter-Weather-Forecast-500633191.html
Read it and weep
It will just take one monster snow to get us to the low end of 24″ 😉 🙂
Still a few weeks left but that prediction isn’t looking very good. I was in the 24-30 inch zone. Time is running out especially with the latest warm wave chewing up days. I barely have 4 inches. It looks like this year could come in even worse for my area than 2017 when I received about 7 inches for the season.