Daily Archives: December 5, 2019

Time posted: 7:37 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. The blog is having a few issues today, so posts are having a tough time showing up. If you’re reading this, let me know how you’re doing so.

Even with the issues, the weather never stops. We have a light rain maker working through the state late Tonight into Friday. We’ve covered that one pretty well in recent days.

The setup for early next week continues to suggest heavy rain, gusty winds, a temp spike, a big temp drop, some snow and arctic air. How this all unfolds will keep changing on the models. Here’s how the late day run of the GFS is looking…

You can see how the model slows that front down and allows a wave of low pressure to bring a stripe of snow across central and eastern Kentucky.

The GFS Ensembles are in more of a giving mood and provide much of the region with a better snow chance…

The pattern behind that is loaded with winter weather potential as arctic shots start to take control. Throw in a very active storm track and ya never know.

This continues to be a very cold pattern in the overall scheme of things. The GFS Ensembles continue to show some strong negative temp departures…

Make it a great evening and take care.

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Time posted: 4:04 pm

Thursday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, friends and neighbors. It’s a really fine day in progress across Kentucky, but a weak system looks to erase that quickly late tonight into Friday. Once that zips through, we focus on a storm system rolling into town early next week. That one will bring a variety of weather which will unlock a blast of arctic air.

The rain coming in overnight and Friday will make for a rather gloomy time. Showers will be noted for much of the daylight hours on Friday, with the heaviest rains totaling a quarter to half inch in a few spots.

Clouds may linger into part of Saturday and that may hold temps down some. The NAM has quite the spread from north to south on Saturday afternoon…

Sunday will find and increase in clouds and the chance for a shower or two by evening. This is ahead of our early week storm system that brings heavy rain, some thunder, gusty winds, mild temps, arctic temps and some snow from Monday into Tuesday. The evolution of this continues to change on each run of the models, so don’t get caught up with any one solution for timing or magnitude.

Here’s the current GFS…

The Canadian has a second, stronger, arctic front moving in behind that on Wednesday…

The Canadian goes for broke with bitter cold…

The ICON is also showing some bitter cold…

The setup behind this argues for a storm system to roll our way late next week into the following weekend. Once again, don’t get caught up in any one model solution with that either. 🙂

I will be back for another update this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:35 pm

Thursday Afternoon Thoughts

Good afternoon, friends and neighbors. It’s a really fine day in progress across Kentucky, but a weak system looks to erase that quickly late tonight into Friday. Once that zips through, we focus on a storm system rolling into town early next week. That one will bring a variety of weather which will unlock a blast of arctic air.

The rain coming in overnight and Friday will make for a rather gloomy time. Showers will be noted for much of the daylight hours on Friday, with the heaviest rains totaling a quarter to half inch in a few spots.

Clouds may linger into part of Saturday and that may hold temps down some. The NAM has quite the spread from north to south on Saturday afternoon…

Sunday will find and increase in clouds and the chance for a shower or two by evening. This is ahead of our early week storm system that brings heavy rain, some thunder, gusty winds, mild temps, arctic temps and some snow from Monday into Tuesday. The evolution of this continues to change on each run of the models, so don’t get caught up with any one solution for timing or magnitude.

Here’s the current GFS…

The Canadian has a second, stronger, arctic front moving in behind that on Wednesday…

The Canadian goes for broke with bitter cold…

The ICON is also showing some bitter cold…

The setup behind this argues for a storm system to roll our way late next week into the following weekend. Once again, don’t get caught up in any one model solution with that either. 🙂

I will be back for another update this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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