Good Friday evening, folks. We have some very ugly weather across the region to jump start the weekend. This nasty weather is a sign of things to come for the rest of the weekend, as we thank our lucky stars the ice line is staying away.
A cold rain is ongoing this evening with temps generally in the 30s. Southern Kentucky is several degrees warmer with some low and middle 40s.
We will still need to watch the far north for some sleet pellets and freezing rain overnight…
There is very little change in the weather through Sunday. This is pretty much a “what you see is what you get” type of a forecast.
Temps surge again by Monday and Tuesday with readings heading toward the 60 degree mark. Gusty showers and thunderstorms will be possible during this time. This looks like a surge of rain that will be followed by a brief chill down on Wednesday…
In this active pattern, there’s no shortage of systems ready to take its place. Watch how the action increases again by Thursday and Friday…
It’s after this system that we start to see Old Man Winter flex a little muscle. The European Model shows an interesting scenario late next weekend with a huge cutoff storm system developing…
Notice how the higher heights show up in Canada instead of the United States. That allows for a much colder setup with an active southern storm track.
The GFS Ensembles also are on board for this winter pattern taking over…
Enjoy the evening and take care.
Even with that run of the Euro, those temps do not look as brutal as the cold we have had recently. Once Dr Cohen starts getting excited about Sudden Stratospheric Warming and perturbations of the Polar Vortex, and feeling more confident about a tanking of the Arctic Oscillation and 6 more weeks of winter, I’m not fully sold. I know he has mentioned possible scenarios that can lead to a back loaded winter, but he also mentions other scenarios that could work against that….www.aer.com
37F and rain is perfectly fine with me.
Definitely spring like weather here in east TN today sunny humid and 73*..
Please lord let’s get more than backside flurries this winter…..
The way this year is going, I think we would be lucky to get the dreaded backside flurries.
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whoops