Steam and Some Storms Ahead

Good Wednesday to one and all. Our fall fling is about to come to an end and is about to be replaced by another stormy setup across our part of the world. This booming look to the pattern is likely to carry us through the big 4th of July holiday next week.

Before that pattern locks in, we get one more REALLY nice day out there today. Lows this morning can drop into the upper 40s in parts of the region, and that may flirt with a few records. Highs later today will reach the upper 70s to low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds.

Muggy air quickly returns on Thursday with temps deep into the 80s. Isolated showers and storms will start to fire up. That action will then increase a bit on Friday, with the main stuff waiting for the weekend.

That’s when a cold front moves in here with rounds of showers and storms. Some of the storms Saturday may be strong or locally severe as the front settles in.

From there, this front looks to put the breaks on, stalling out on top of the region…

Repeat storms may produce some very heavy rainfall during this time, and that’s something we will have to watch closely going forward. The Canadian has some decent numbers…

No, it’s not going to rain all the time, instead, the storms will come at us in waves with lots of dry hours in between.

Temperatures this weekend into early next week look to be below normal yet again.

Make it a great day and take care.

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10 Responses to Steam and Some Storms Ahead

  1. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, I’ll take the nice cool weather, but I don’t look forward to more rain and storms this weekend. Have a great day everyone.

  2. Virgil says:

    As much as I like warm weather in December, I know it doesn’t belong there as much as these 70s don’t belong as highs in late June going into July. Its not normal. I just want upper 80s – lower 90s with a couple of heat waves that approach 100.. Too much to ask?

  3. Matt says:

    I must say that I’ve really enjoyed the last few days working outside. It can’t be overstated how awesome it is to have dew points in the 40s.

  4. BubbaG says:

    CB, after the last few years and especially last winter, Good Luck forecasting this winter. Seems perhaps ‘unforecastable’.

  5. Schroeder says:

    Virgil, I think you will get the weather you wish, in late July, August, and September. Hang in there, it’s coming. Have a great afternoon.

  6. Schroeder says:

    Matt, I like the cool weather also, as I can’t take the hot sun and heat as I use to. Wonder, how it would be to live in Roan Mountain, Tennessee. Never been there but the climate sounds delightful, with plenty of natural gardens of Rhododendrons and azaleas. Also, plenty of snow in the winter. Have a great afternoon.

  7. Schroeder says:

    Forecasting the winter depends on a lot of factors, such as solar cycles, and NAO, whether it’s in the positive phase ( mild winter ) or negative ( cold winter ), also you have to factor in ENSO ( El nino, La nina, or ENSO neutral, which we are in now.

  8. Mike S says:

    It’s amazing how the Canadian model paints a picture of every one of these locations, even non-reporting ones from the areas near Lake Michigan to Myrtle Beach SC and from northeast TX to western PA receiving some measurable precipitation during the July 1-5 time frame. Not a dry place to be found. Since I’m a weather geek, I’ll examine those areas during this time frame to see how well they performed. In my opinion, Canadian seems a bit too hyper in its forecasts for rainfall. For me, it’s just an extreme example of how it could be, not the way it will be.

    • winter lover says:

      Mike, the Canadian model over estimate all the rain that was forecasted from the tropical depression last weekend we didn’t get near the rain that was over hype to be here in my next of woods in western,ky

  9. Todd says:

    You hot weather folks can have it, i like more money in the bank than giving it to utility companies.

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