Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the potential for a tropical system to form in the Gulf and impact our late weekend weather.

This is something we’ve talked about for a few days now, and the models are picking up on the potential.

The setup will feature a cold front working toward the state by Saturday. At the same time, a tropical system is likely cranking in the Gulf of Mexico. That front would then pick up the named storm and bring it northward toward Kentucky.

The GFS shows this system moving right on top of Kentucky…

The Canadian looks very similar…

The European Model has been struggling of late because of such a deep trough across the west. This is the one big flaw with the model, as it is usually too slow with ejecting these systems eastward.

The European Model never gets the trough and the tropical system together, thus keeping the system just to our east…

This will be something for us to watch very closely in the coming days, as this setup could result in heavy rains around here. IF we get rain from this tropical system, it would be the 4th of the season to do so. That’s pretty amazing.

I will have the full update later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

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3 Responses to Tuesday Evening Update

  1. Amanda says:

    What are your thoughts for this winter?

  2. kywildcat says:

    Awesome, right in time to knock some of the leaves off…

  3. Coffeelady says:

    No Chris, No!! Leaving for the Sunshine state Thursday, and I am hoping that it will be sunny! As far as rain here, we’ll, we could use some. Maybe it will shoot up this way and we can dodge it down there. In any event, we have had a great stretch of beautiful weather, so I guess it’s about time for a change. Hope everyone has had a great day!

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