Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. We have another frosty night ahead of us for many areas, but the focus of the update is on the big change lurking for next week. It’s a change toward a much colder setup taking control for the end of October.

Our first system arrives later Sunday into Monday with an big increase in showers and thunderstorms. The European Model shows some heavy rains…

The European Model also shows a heck of a cold shot coming in behind that for Tuesday into Wednesday. This model run shows a clipper-like system diving into the region by the middle of the week…

The GFS is now very similar…

That could produce rain and snow for the Appalachian Mountains. Does that include the high ground across southeastern Kentucky? We will have to see.

That pushes away, with another cold shot coming at us at the end of the European run by next Friday…

Here’s a good animation showing those big dips in the Jetstream aimed right at us…

The European Ensembles through the end of October continue to show some flakes targeting the Ohio Valley and Appalachian Mountains…

The GFS Ensembles are very similar…

There are a lot of variables at play over the next few weeks, so model chaos is likely. Let’s sit back and watch how it all plays out… That’s half the fun! 🙂

Have a great evening and take care.


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2 Responses to Tuesday Evening Update

  1. Claydar says:

    Last nights gfs run lost its mind. Im glad you didnt post a pic of it. But a guy can dream right?

  2. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. It’s getting to be about that time of year isn’t it? Fun times to come as we go on into it! Have a great evening all.

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