The Ups and Downs Of March

Good Monday, everyone. We are rolling into the second half of March with the typical temperature spikes and drops that made the month famous. These temp differences will increase as get a series of systems to roll from west to east across the country.

As always, let’s begin with today and roll forward. Highs are down a few degrees from Sunday, but the below normal temps aren’t all bad. Highs will generally range from the mid 40s north to low 50s south. Winds will add to the chill.

Tuesday looks similar, but we throw a few more digits your way.

Our first system looks to move in here late Wednesday into early Thursday and should bring gusty winds and a few showers with it…

Temps behind that will take off for the weekend as west to southwest winds kick in. That means we should hit the 60s then head toward 70 or a little better late in the weekend and early next week. That’s ahead of a stronger system rolling in from the west…

This pattern will continue to send these “bowling ball” systems rolling across the country…

That’s a pretty active setup and one that can provide us with some big storm days and ugly days.

As we look down the road, it appears El Nino isn’t going away and will likely strengthen in the months ahead…

That is forecasting a moderate El Nino to develop this summer into fall. That may temper summer temps, but may do the opposite for next winter.

Make it  a great Monday and take care.


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9 Responses to The Ups and Downs Of March

  1. Marsha says:

    Guess that means another warm winter

  2. Jim B says:

    Hahaha, next winter talk in March, why? Haha

    • Terry says:

      Exactly. I dont want to talk winter, fake snow or cold anymore for several months myself. I know we will have to survive a few more weeks with chilly weather and possible FAKE model snow/mix threats but I hope Chris doesn’t post anymore models showing it unless it is legit for actual late season accumulation. I really dont like spring snows but they do happen every so many years in April.

  3. Bobt says:

    Would like to see a true summer but probably won’t. Wet will probably be the common word again this summer. What happened to the hot summers at the pool and the lake? Turned into dreary and damp..

  4. Schroeder says:

    I found this article on ENSO where a moderate to strong El nino will bring a warm and dry winter to the Ohio Valley and lake effect snows to Eastern Kentucky and the higher terrain of West Virginia. https://www.weather.gov/cle/research_ENSO_GtLakes

    • Schroeder says:

      I don’t understand ENSO El nino. It seems like every ENSO event is different for the Ohio River Valley. Base on their predictions this past winter for a weak El nino didn’t produce the cold and snowy winter as we had back in 1969-70 and 1976-78 where a weak El nino was present. Scientist really need to research this phenomenon more, so they may make more accurate predictions. Wasn’t there a strong El nino event back in 2015-16 when we received those late heavy snow events ? I read that strong El nino events bring “BLOWTORCH WINTERS” for the Ohio Valley. My only conclusion is other factors are at play.

      • Jamie says:

        Exactly. There are dozens of factors that play into the weather we end up with. I think we’ve become too obsessed with the ENSO. It’s a factor in our weather…it may even be a significant factor – but it’s only one.

      • Terry says:

        Yeah, every El Nino forecasted, NWS and many others put the Ohio and TN Valley areas as “dry” and mild…almost always the opposite occurs! This year, the mild part actually worked out but not even close on the “dry part” for NWS’s preliminary winter 2019 forecast. NWS eventually caved in to the so call PV split and changed the east US to a colder/snowier winter forecast which 100% DID NOT WORK. Terrible 2019 winter and forecast from every source I saw!

  5. Lori says:

    And here I am crying because the word “snow” won’t be mentioned again until October!
    And it’s almoat time to start mowing… again. Ugh!!!

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