Something Tropical Coming FROM Kentucky?

Good Sunday, everyone. It’s another day of scattered showers and storms, but a break in the action is on the way into the start of the new week. From there, we are watching the Gulf Of Mexico for the potential of a tropical system. It’s a system that actually got started in Kentucky. Wait.. What? I’ll get to that in a moment.

Let’s begin with today then roll forward. Scattered showers and storms will be on the move… you know the drill. 🙂

Better weather will be in store for Monday and Tuesday as mainly dry skies take control. Even then, an isolated shower or storm will be possible, but most stay dry.

A cold front drops in here later Wednesday and Thursday, bringing showers and storms back in here. That will also have a drop in temps behind it.

Since last week, I’ve been talking about the pattern being conducive for a tropical system in the Gulf Of Mexico. That scenario is looking more and more possible later this week into the coming weekend… With a twist. The disturbance responsible for this potential development is actually working out of western Kentucky and Tennessee and heading toward the Gulf.

Some tropical systems that develop close to the United States actually came from a non-tropical entity from land. Obviously, those make the transition to tropical and that’s what we are looking for in the week ahead. The National Hurricane Center is now highlighting this threat…

The European was the first model to jump on board with this system and continues to show a central Gulf Of Mexico hit by Friday or Saturday…

The model continues to bring what’s left of that toward Kentucky…

The GFS is even going toward this scenario…

To review… A system from Kentucky heads toward the Gulf and tries to become a tropical system. That may come ashore along the Gulf coast then head back toward where it started… Kentucky. Pretty wild, huh? Let’s see how this thing actually plays out in the coming days.

As always, I leave you with your tracking toys for the day…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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16 Responses to Something Tropical Coming FROM Kentucky?

  1. Terry says:

    Nothing surprising me anymore….KY seems like the tropics with abundent rain year round, only cooler than the real tropics but a lot warmer than it used to be it seems!

  2. Schroeder says:

    Terry, The two system coming together ( negative on the northern system and a positive system in the Gulf of Mexico makes for a real storm. If this was January or February the western part of the state would have a major snowstorm or blizzard and the rest of the state would be in the warm sector unless the path is farther east ( Appalachian Runner. )

  3. David in Gtown says:

    These scattered storms over the past 12 days have all but missed my backyard(near Georgetown Kroger). The garden could use a natural drink. We’ve had thunder in the distance several days(including yesterday), but no rain hits. We had some rain on Wednesday, that’s it for nearly 2 weeks.

    • Bobt says:

      We have not missed out a day down here in Knox. It’s not rained all day but when it has its come down in buckets. Would love to have a decent dry stretch before summer comes to an end but very much doubt that will happen. This is Kentucky and we are the land of the rain.

  4. Prelude says:

    The Hurricane Center gives a low end 20% chance and the local NWS not even acknowledging any tropical development.

  5. Schroeder says:

    It’s still interesting to watch for development.

  6. Schroeder says:

    Have a great and quiet Sunday everyone.

  7. Bobt says:

    It honestly could not rain any harder than it is right now at my house. This is the fourth or fifth straight day that a torrential downpour has happened here. The vegetation could not get any more green for July than it is right now. My yard is a mud hole once again.

    • Terry says:

      Finally, it is hitting Harlan good. I am only at 0.16 for the month but this heavy ban will quickly change that! I will update a total later today!

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