Good Saturday, everyone. I just got word the big man from the North Pole isn’t a happy camper with the forecast and is threatening to leave coal in my stocking. Lucky for me, this ain’t my first rodeo in being on the naughty list. 🙂
It’s a mild forecast this weekend through most of Christmas week. There’s not much more you can say about that. The one and only thing I’ve been tracking is our southern storm system. This will throw clouds into Kentucky and may bring a few showers into southern and southeastern Kentucky. Beyond that, we have a much different pattern to track by the time the year ends.
Our southern system is a west-east mover, bringing flooding rains and high winds to the southeastern part of the country. The northern edge of this rain shield may throw a shower into far western Kentucky early Sunday, then bring a few showers into southern and southeastern Kentucky late Sunday into early Monday.
The models keep going back and forth on which one brings the best rain chance into the state. This time it’s the European Model…
The pattern continues to run mild as that system pulls on out of town. Temps through the end of next week look pretty ugly for this time of year.
That could change in a hurry next weekend into the close of the year, with a cold and snowy pattern by week one of 2020. The Ensembles have been leading the way with this for a while and now we find the operational models joining in the mix.
Here’s the GFS for next weekend into the closing days of the year…
The Canadian at the same time…
The GFS for the first few days of 2020 is seeing the big trough from the Ensembles…
So, after a mild Christmas week, this pattern looks ready to rock to kick off the new year.
I won’t be able to post again until this evening, so there will be no midday update. Make it a good one and take care.
I am going to go outside and enjoy the warm weather over the next 7 to 10 days.
That’s the spirit!
Maybe not the Christmas spirit but more like the spring spirit
Both if ya think about it. 😉
All be it mild for the first of winter here, Australia is having a blazing start to winter (early summer down under of course). It is comparable to the record heat we had here in late June 2012, actually probably more extreme.
As much of a GFS hater that CB is, he really thinks very fondly of it all of a sudden, since it’s showing some crazy cold by the end of the year. The Euro though is not cold enough. Of course, both models are a little out of their supposed sweet spot but do offer at least a change in this current pattern.
Neat satellite shot showing stripe of snow through central Indiana
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12
Hey it’s always next week absiley lond u said in nic the first of December looks brutal and I kept putting it off a week at a time, just be honest as we are not going hirtbyou!! It’s ok if u miss cold and snow, that’s the normal wtbis time of year. As my dead daddy used to say you weaver guys wil hit something we donate any like a tornado etc.
With as much rainfall as that run of the Euro is putting out for far se Kentucky, I’m just absolutely stunned that no flood watches are out…(again smh)
I hope everybody enjoy the warm up that’s coming. It’s been pretty darn cold here in my neck of woods last couple weeks. I’m battling a chest cold hopefully I’ll get over. It in order to enjoy the warmth. Have a great evening!!