Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Better air continues to push into the region this afternoon as we focus on a drier forecast for the next several days. As this carries us into the weekend, we focus on a warmer and potentially wetter setup for next week and beyond.

The only system we have to track in the coming days is a cold front sweeping in from the northwest. That delivers colder air for Friday and early Saturday, and there’s even the chance for a few flakes in the east…

MUCH milder air moves in here by Sunday as temps climb toward 60. Next week is a milder than normal week that may also turn stormy once again. Obviously, individual details of said storm systems need to be ironed out, but the models are showing this wetter trend…

Temps look much warmer than normal through the middle of the month. Look at the 10 day (March 8-18) average temp anomalies from the GFS…

Euro Ensembles

That doesn’t mean we won’t get a brief colder shot or two, it just means the average temps during this time will be above normal on the whole.

Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.

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8 Responses to Tuesday Afternoon Update

  1. Joe T. says:

    Thanks Chris. Any ideas on how the severe weather season may play out? We are overdue for a bad severe weather year here in Pulaski county. Prayers for those in Nashville.

  2. Bobt says:

    Those maps go through the 18th which means the average temps keep climbing higher which puts my part of the state at 60 degree highs. RIP winter 19-20, hello spring..

    • Andy Rose says:

      Made it to 69.8 today in my backyard Bobt

      • Terry says:

        The “early bloomers” like the Bradford Pears, Forsythia and such are really starting to bloom out here and only need a few mild days to fully flower out . Despite some below freezing nights and little snows recently, we are still set to bloom out early and will if next week is actually warmer than average as looks likely.

  3. TennMark says:

    Thanks everybody that expressed their concerns.

    My family and I are good, as we’re actually well south of downtown; it was the north edge of downtown Nashville on north that was affected. I still went to work today, in fact. We sure were ready to bolt into our cramped crawlspace with our daughter. But while our power flickered several times, it never went out.

    Putnam County TN (includes Crossville up on the Tennessee Plateau) actually by far has the highest fatality rate even though much of the attention has been focused on Nashville.

    As Chris Bailey touched on earlier in a tweet, kudos to the New Channel 5 (Nashville’s CBS affiliate) mets/reporters and other area mets that somehow kept a lot of their cool even as the tornado roared just outside. Wow!

    • Terry says:

      Glad to hear from you! I was worried about you and your family all day today. I have a co worker whose aunt lost her property (no injuries), lives on the north edge in the heart of the damage 🙁

      I have a feeling, and chances match my thoughts, that we may have a rough severe weather season due to so much cold locked up in the arctic. Obviously, excess cold is only one factor but any amplification of the jet throughout spring could help spike some big outbreaks!

      Take care and prayers for your area.

    • Schroeder says:

      TennMark, Glad you and your family are safe. I was really worried when I saw all the damage on the news out of Nashville. Prayers to all those that were affected and my heart goes out to those families that loss loved ones. May God Bless everyone with a speedy recovery.

    • TennMark says:

      Brain cramp.

      I only grew up in Tennessee, but of course was Cookeville TN that was devastated, not Crossville TN. Still true that Putnam County (includes Cookeville) has by far the highest tornado fatality count of any Tennessee county from the March 2-3 storms.

      Crossville is in Cumberland County TN, closer to Knoxville.

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