1pm Update
Good afternoon gang. I am dropping by to clean up some of the non working cams from the Carolinas and to add some radars and new cams so you can follow this storm up the east coast. Here ya go…
Morehead City, NC
Ocracoke Island, NC
I will add more toys and cams later today so check back. Have a great afternoon and take care.
Previous Update
Good Friday everyone. We have a fairly calm weather pattern across the state for the next few days, so we will focus a lot of our time on Hurricane Irene. We have you set up with tracking tools and some cams from the path of this monster of a storm.
Before we track Irene… a quick check of our local weather headlines.
– Today will be a fantastic day with partly to mostly sunny skies. Temps will be in the low and mid 80s for highs for many with upper 80s in the far south.
– A great evening is on tap for high school football!
– Saturday will see partly sunny skies as we should see some high clouds streaming our way from Hurricane Irene. A bit of a breeze will kick up, too. Highs will be back in the low to mid 80s.
– As Irene works up the east coast… our temps will come down for Sunday and Monday with readings in the upper 70s to low 80s. A weak system moving in from the northwest may create a scattered shower or two.
Back to the main show… Hurricane Irene.
The outer bands of Irene will begin to impact the Carolinas today as the storm continues to strengthen and turns more on a northerly course. Here is a current look at the storm…
The track from the National Hurricane Center looks to be in great shape with a landfall in eastern North Carolina on Saturday then skirting up the New Jersey coast toward New York City on Sunday…![[Image of 3-day forecast, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0911W_sm2+gif/032240W_sm.gif)
Words cannot do justice to the type of damage and destruction a track like that can cause. This is truly a once in lifetime hurricane track! We can just add this to the collection of extreme weather events over the past few years.
As the storm gets closer to land… I will be adding radars along the track. I will also be adding cams for the various states impacted by Irene. For today, we give you some up to the minute cams from South Carolina and North Carolina.
Myrtle Beach, SC
Nags Head, NC
New Bern, NC
Elizabeth City, NC
Kitty Hawk, NC
Wilmington, NC
I may be adding some new tracking tools to this later on in the day. I am toying with a live blog or two this weekend for all us Kentucky weather geeks to gather and share links and information about Irene.
Have a great Friday and take care.
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Those poor people probably don’t know what they’re in for and many will regret not evacuating. I hope they all use common sense. I know how nervous and scared I get when we get a thunderstorm with 60 mph winds. A prolonged wind much stronger than that would have me borderline hysterical.
How strong can a gust be when the sustained winds are over 100 mph? I doubt we’d have any trees left standing. This is so scary and serious. Good luck to all.
Good morning everyone! Well… the hustle and bustle is about town this morning! Looks like we are staying put as we are probably in the safest place (or one of) around the area. Quantico is pretty solid 😉 This will be the third named storm that I have been through. Dennis, Danielle and now Irene. As promised, as long as we have power and I have batteries, I will keep you guys updated on weather conditions here in the Tidal Potomac! Be safe!
They know exactly what they are in for. They live on the coast. This is not the first hurricane to pass through.
I love the Outer Banks and have been to many of the places where those cameras are. I really hope this think spins out to the east but I’m sure that’s unlikely at this point. Praying for the safety of the people there and on up the Atlantic seaboard.
That is one monster of a storm. Looking at the picture one can see that it takes up approximately one grid box. And looking at the box to the left and seeing how many states is in that one box, WOW.
‘Coast Wrecker’ Irene…strange, given that Irene’s name means “peace”.
I’ve added more links to ‘Seeing Irene’ on my blog. In addition to webcams, police scanners, also power outage maps will be available for many affected locations.
CB rules!
How many hurricanes have taken this path? How many new residents live in the target zone? I was raised on the Gulf coast but never stayed home for a hurricane. My family took no chances. I hope you are right and that all concerned are properly prepared.
Storm is entraining a lot of dry air on the east and northeast quadrants. Could see some weakening just when you would expect intensification as it moves over the gulf stream.
It’s not getting ready to snow is it?
That was meant to go under Bubba G’ s name
With a path just like this?
Alex (Cat 3) – 2004
Emily (Cat 3) – 1993
Bob (Cat 3) – 1991
Gloria (Cat 4) – 1985
Just to name the recent ones on a similar path that gives a glancing blow to North Carolina and then continues moving towards New England.
I know the weather folks had to really hipe this storm because of the numbers of people it is headed for, but at this point looks to be far from the MEGA event of just a day or 2 ago??
The difference those storms is that they all RACED just off land up the east coast. Gloria had a forward speed of 60 mph when it skirted Long Island. This thing should be crawling. 6-12hours of bad stuff for everyone in its path.
That last webcam feed from Wilmington blows my mind. Reminds me of golfing at 3:00 a.m. in Anderson County!!
working at nws mt holly nj, philly now. just checking in on you all. there are a few minor signs of encourgement tonight. one the storm is slightly weeker second the ECMWF further west has had poor intialization compared to GFS which is further east. even a few miles can make a difference for the coastline.
Interesting article from the CEO of Advanced Forecasting Corp. (AFC).
“The hype over Hurricane Irene is overblown.”
“*The demise of Irene has already begun. There is no visible eye. The storm intensity is down to 99 mph. This would be a low-end category 2 or a strong category 1 storm, while 36 hours ago some predicted a catastrophic category 4 storm. Air Force Reserve aircraft have found that Irene’s eyewall has collapsed, and the central pressure has risen — rising pressure means a weakening storm.
*The reduction in storm intensity likely confirms that this storm is not going to be as monstrous as it has been publicly forecast to be.
*Yes, it will be windy. However, north of Delaware most hurricane force winds will very likely be gusts, not sustained winds.
* At Advanced Forecasting Corporation, we are concentrating on the surging waters which typically cause over 85% of the loss of life in hurricanes. We have modeled the following predictions:
1) There will be wind damage over eastern-most North Carolina as well as some storm surge flooding up the Pamlico Sound. Some houses in the Hamptons will be flooded and destroyed. Flooding might occur in New York’s Battery Park Subway station and on the FDR Drive since the city could get up to 8 inches of rain. There may be some New England neighborhoods submerged due to rivers overflowing.
2) With 90% confidence, we predict a total damage bill below $1 billion. Unless there is an unexpected secondary or tertiary event, this is not going to be a huge-loss storm.
o Our internal modeling uses genetic algorithms to emphasize the weaknesses of storms. Remember that storms are energy. Just like people, they all have their own personalities. From the get-go, Irene was not a power storm. Her goal was to become wide, not internally powerful. Personified further, the storm became too big too quickly and it cannot master its own strength.
http://http://www.gplus.com/Hurricanes/Insight/The-storm-cannot-master-its-own-strength
Interesting article. The CEO of Advanced Forescasting Corp.(AFC) says the media hype is overblown on Irene and the hurricane is weakening significantly and damage will be mostly flooding with total storm damage under $1 Billion.
http://http://www.gplus.com/Hurricanes/Insight/The-storm-cannot-master-its-own-strength
Storm appears to be dying. Media predicted a Category 4 storm, seems to be down to a Category 1 right now and weakening.
Eyewall is gone. Winds are dropping and pressure is rising. Southwest wind shear and proximity to land is tearing it apart right now.
I think she’s getting her s**t back together, and looks like on a beeline to NYC. Reports of chaotic crowds near Grand Central and on a lot of NYC subway routes.
Unless you have a car an want to pay a taxi guy $1000.00, you won’t get out of NYC if you’re not out of there by noon tomorrow. Wow. Just think if this were still a major.
With a further west track, wouldnt that mean a more devastating blow to the Outer banks? They would be in the NE Quad of the storm.
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