Hello everyone and thanks for stopping by the blog. We have been dealing with some snow showers and flurries across much of the region over the past 24 hours. As we thought… not a whole lot was sticking during the day Monday as temps stayed just above the freezing mark.
Snow showers will begin to diminish across the region early on this Tuesday. Temps will be in the mid to upper 20s so a few slick spots may develop on area roads early on. Any accumulations will be light with southeastern Kentucky seeing the best shot at an inch or less. Highs later on will struggle to get out of the low and mid 30s with a blustery wind that will continue.
Arctic air is heading toward theKentucky Wednesday night and Thursday in the form of a strong cold front. Ahead of the front on Wednesday… temps will warm well into the 40s on a gusty southwest wind. A line of showers will move through Wednesday night and may end as a period of snow showers early Thursday as the front moves through. Here is a look at the European Model…
Thursday Morningg
It will be a race between the cold air and the departing moisture. The cold will try to catch it from behind and change it to some snow just in time for that Thursday morning Commute. Something to watch.
Temps Thursday fall from the mid 30s early to near 30 by early evening. It will be another gusty day.
Friday will be COLD with temps in the upper 20s and lows that night may hit the high teens. Yet another arctic blast is in store for the weekend and this one will have a better shot at bringing snow to us. Take a look…
Saturday Morning
You see the low across Iowa and this will have a swath of snow with it that should be moving in later in the day Saturday and continue into early Sunday as lake effect moisture kicks in…
Sunday Morning
You see how the lines are coming almost due south into the region… that is a good flow for snow showers early in the day. Highs Sunday will likely be the coldest yet with mid to upper 20s possible. Lows in the low to mid teens may be with us early Monday. I should add the the hot off the presses run of the European is MUCH stronger with this clipper! 
The models continue to show a VERY cold and potentially snowy pattern into the middle of December! Folks… it’s early in the year and we are well below normal already in the temp department and many areas have already had a few inches of snow! That is a nice start to winter!!
I will try to update a little earlier today since I didn’t have enough time to give you guys a long drawn out post. 
Have a great Tuesday and take care everyone!
Something to watch Wednesday night? I’ll be more than happy to have my eye to the sky to see the snow showers coming down then. 😉
Thanks, Chris!! 🙂
=Aaron=
Well, it might be a bit later than Wednesday night… I stand corrected. Maybe we can see some snow in the wee hours of Thursday by the time the colder air works in. I’m rooting for the EURO and some gusty snow showers early Thursday. 🙂
Thanks Chris we appreciate the update…
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
135 AM EST TUE DEC 02 2008
…RECORD SNOWFALL TIED AT JACKSON KY…
ONE HALF INCH OF SNOW FELL AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
JACKSON ON MONDAY DEC 1ST. THIS TIES THE RECORD FOR THE MOST SNOW
RECORDED ON THIS DATE. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 0.5 INCHES SET IN
1992.
WEATHER RECORDS FOR JACKSON DATE BACK TO 1981.
Tough sleddin’ again for us! I don’t think that we could buy snow, maybe next time. Chris, thanks for the update.
well not alot of snow in my back yard just a good dusting. But enough to make my kids happy..NO SCHOOL IN KNOX CO. today…SIGH !!..lol.. as well as several other also.
not a good dusting here just a coat and as far as i can tell nothing on the roads so i will assume it will be just ice
what a joke for knox county to cancel school,
I have been over there all nite until about 35 minutes ago and its not bad.
it worse here in gunchester and that not sayin much seeing it been top warm to lay on ANY ROADS,
clay co on a 1 hour delay that seems like the logical choice.
Thanks Chris…a puzzling day here in Letcher County…while a batch of snow is moving through Letcher County at present, the Letcher County Schools are on the REGULAR SCHEDULE. Meanwhile, neighboring school systems are under delays or are closed. Ugh…
now the dummies have called it off in clay co,
they wait till 7am to make decision after alot of parents are getting ready after thinking its a 1 hour delay.
There are some roads covered in Knox County Rolo unless you have been up every holler you can’t say the roads are good enough to send them. Superintendent says if 1 school can’t be in session none of the schools in the county will.
GFS continues to advertise VERY interesting weather next week…
Looks at this point like Tuesday could feature rain with embedded t-storms. Then Wednesday we go into the deep freeze with continuous blasts of snow. December may turn out to be wild during the first half!!
funny… you mention this I was just reading the nws point and click forecast for my area on wed/thurs. and it went from rain/snow yesterday to an all rain event now…and tomorrow it’ll probably be an all snow event again..lol.. regardless I’m like you I think were going into the tank as far as cold/snowy weather goes…and thats a good thing if you like the cold/snow.
Could we possibly get a WHite Christmas out of this pattern and will the cold hold til Christmas???? well as some call him on here, Mad Man Henry Margusity from accuweather seems to think the cold will hold…..
From Henry’s blog:
5. The fun will begin as the weather in the East remains very cold up to Christmas, and a series of storms will be moving across the East. The next big storm to watch will be Monday and Wednesday. GFS will cut it into the eastern Lakes while the DGEX and Euro take it off the Virginia coast.
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(we want the stay south of ky. and off the virginia coast scenario for snow here)we all know what happens when we get those storms that cut up through the lakes…Rain,Rain, and more Rain…
The models always advertise interesting weather 1 week out, where you been? 😉
I tell you what the gfs generated snowfall maps are out of control sometimes..lol.. the 18z run has a storm on 17th bullseye is western north carolina with over a foot of snow, and 6-8″ back to central ky. and central alabama and Georgia..NOW that would be nice since that is the week before Christmas.But it will flip flop more than a fish out of water…but I love playing with the snowfall animations its pretty cool…You have to be a paying customer to view it though sorry gang…:(.. I like to keep you informed of what it shows, but even I cant do it justice…oh well if it was actually happening it would be different..
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These out of school days are CRAZY around here, with 5 kids in the house…UGH!!..lol..12 yr. old, 9 yr. old, 5 yr. old, and a set of twins 22months old….and dear ole dad who doesnt have much sense left..LOL
This is actually true. 1 week out, it seems like a perpetual snow event. LOL.
It does though…it shows continuous snow from Wednesday through at least Friday and some of the coldest air we’ve seen in a LONG time too.
You are right MichaelT… Looking at a model more than 2 or 3 days out is pure guess work and more than 5 days out is for entertainment. They almost always show these big snowstorms for the following week, but they rarely, if ever come to fruition.
Wrap-around and lake effect is all we ever get anymore, the southern storms always bring the warm air with them..
On a lighter note, I hope I get proved wrong this winter:)
BRRR !!!!…
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_pcp_360m.gif
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if it gets this cold, I better see about getting my cat and dogs some electric socks to wear..
I live up a hollow and the roads this morning was slick my husband said it was ice with a little snow on top that but as he went toward west liberty nothing roads where fine so the schools make the right call when they so no school because there is many lives at stake one bad call could be really bad. I don’t mean anything bad toward you Rolo you are my HERO.
the GFS is having signficant phasing issues right now. it flip-flops like crazy every run past the weekend.
WEll afternoon, all weather lovers on here! Glad to see that we have not changed one bit from year to year! 😉 I really enjoyed the snow squalls we got yesterday, but they didn’t stick. Over night, we got a slight dusting, mostly on rooftops and such, but there were icy spots on the roadways this morning, too.
I am counting on you, Chris, to make the cold and moisture happen at the same time at SOMR point this winter, so we can get a decent snow in here! We have already seen our temps colder than last year at this itme, and more precip than we had seen, too. I am just hioping that this bodes well for a good snowstorm sometime this winter, (preferrably around Christmas)
In any event, got the long johns on and the heavier ones ready, in case they are needed!
Chris, keep us posted. You, too, Wxman and Mitch! And everyone have a GREAT day! Talk at ya later!
FIRE IN DA HOLE!!!!!!!!!!
been too long between post, u all DEAD!!!
Not dead, just trying to stay warm. I’ve kept the coffee or hot tea going all day. The pot of chili I made yesterday didn’t last long. We looked like a frosted mini-wheat around here this morning. I’m still holding out for one ~good~ snowfall this year. We’ve only just begun…..
and I’m trying to survive 5 kids home today…lol…
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Well since we’ve been following this dec.14-18th storm. lets just see how many times the snowfall maps change. Yesterdays runs had heavy snow in west ky. then eastern ky. and the southern states. Now the 0z has a general 1-4″ snow from the 11-16th. Then on the 17-18th the axis of heavy snow on the ground is central tn. and central ky. with all of ky. with a general 2-4″ with the heaviest from B.Green. to Lex. where a cone of 8-10″ is showing up…so regardless each model run is showing a snowstorm for this time frame lets just see how many times the snowfall shifts between now and then, or disappears completely! that will be more like it,given our track record.
Chris, I trust you 110% but I am curious why no one else is even HINTING at the “artic” air that is on it’s way. Blows me away how some can be so far off base it’s not even funny. Anyway I was just curious. Tim, and everyone HELLO hope all is well! 🙂 🙂 🙂
Has anyone seen a forecast that even comes close to Chris’? I have yet to hear a forecast to mention ARCTIC AIR. Wonder how long it will take for them to figure it out?
Hello All !
I’d say when it gets here Mello! 🙂
Just do not understand why them crazy people don’t listen to our famous weatherdude! LOL 🙂
I agree Linda….he is the BEST!!
We may need to take a step back here and recognize the position that we are putting Chris’ wife in. How is she possibly going to handle him if our comments give him a big head 🙂 I really don’t even listen to the weather reports on t.v. anymore…except for an occassional T.G. forecast. Thanks Chris. We really do appreciate all that you do for us and also your family that puts up with all you do for us.
well ARTIC AIR is different to many,
to me ARTIC AIR is tens to 20 for highs and single digits for lows.
now its first of december so the air that coming is indeed cold.
but to say its TRUE ARTIC TYPE cold it is not.
that my thinking.
as far as overall forcast go, BAILEY BOY is the man, u know like RIC FLAIR!!WOOOOOOOOOOOO
STYLIN and PROFILIN ON CB MOUNTAIN.
DIAMONDS ARE fOREVER AND SO IS CHRIS BAILEY.
THE BEST THERE IS, THE BEST THERE WAS AND THE BEST THERE EVERY WILL BE.
that came from another great one, BRET THE HITMAN HART!!
there also is NO EXCUSE that WKYT let CB get gone, COWBOY UP WKYT.
the fact is he has been dedicated to that station all the way back too his weather watching days with VRIAN COLLINS.
They could have work out a way with CB and TG to both be the nightly weather man in my opinion.
hopefully some day his loyality will be payed off with a return to the only place he belongs, WKYT.
Rolo…….Well said and I totally agree!!
Ya crybaby 5 kids pffft
j/k sounds like you needed to recruit the grandparents
Amen We need Chris back!!!!! The other blog…people aren’t hardly even posting and I checked yesterday and Friday was the last posting from TG. Chris we need you back!!!! If it wasn’t for this I don’t know what I’d do.
still the chance for light acc north of 1-64 and west of morehead thu am. the NAM and GFS are trending a little slower, GFS puts down amounts less than an inch. my thinking is a 1/2 inch tops with perhaps far north ky seeing a little more.
When