Pattern Change Starting To Show Up

Good Tuesday gang and thanks for dropping by the blog. While we are seeing more sweltering hot temps across the state today… changes to the overall pattern continue to show up that should take us out of this torrid temp regime. We will break that down and look at the possibility of Tropical Storm Emily impacting the southeastern seaboard.

Let us start things out in the precious present and the chance some areas see the hottest weather of the whole summer today. High temps from Louisville and west have a shot at cracking 100 degrees for the first time this summer. That is something we will watch for as the rest of the state sees readings in the low and middle 90s.

Humidity levels will be up some from Monday… but will be NOTHING like we have seen over the past few weeks.

Follow the heat here…

Current Temps



Heat Index



Today’s Highs


A cold front will dip into the Ohio Valley tonight into Wednesday and is likely to bring some scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms Tomorrow may be on the strong or severe side. The increase in clouds and storms will knock temps down several degrees from today. Highs Wednesday should top out in the upper 80s to around 90.

Thursday can still crank out a shower or storm with readings generally in the mid and upper 80s for many.

The hot air makes another run at us for Friday into Saturday ahead of another front that may arrive on the scene for Sunday and Monday. This would introduce the threat for showers and storms yet again and will cut the heat off at the pass.

Fronts are making it deeper and deeper into the country now and that is a sign the heat ridge may have seen its better days. The medium range forecast models are showing much lower heights across the eastern half of the country for next week.



These maps show the jet stream taking much more of a dip across the eastern part of the country allowing for a more moderate brand of air than what we are seeing.

That same jet stream configuration may also prove to really ramp up a stormy period for much of the country over the next few weeks. The GFS 2 week rain numbers show this well…



Don’t focus on the exact rain numbers… just look at what the rainfall pattern is suggesting. It shows the heat ridge shrinks southwestward toward the lone star state. By the way… how sad is that rain map for drought sticken Texas?

We will see how it all plays out over the next week or two… but there is some real hope of a pattern change for much of the country.

To the tropics we go and Tropical Storm Emily formed Monday afternoon and is working across the Caribbean. This storm will have to contend with the mountains of hispaniola before it can really strengthen. If it does… Florida may be looking at a hurricane threat by the weekend. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center…































Have a great Tuesday and take care.