Good Monday, everyone. The heavy rain largely avoided much of the bluegrass state over the weekend, but that can still change. The threat for heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms will continue to spread slowly eastward over the next few days.
After the tropical rains, the nicest air mass since late spring is tries to show up by late this coming weekend.
We have a lot to talk about, and I’ve loaded up the blog for your reading pleasure (or displeasure :)).
We start with the heavy rain threat. A slow-moving front continues to press in from the west as deep tropical moisture surges northward along this boundary. This has already produced flooding rains just to our west, and catastrophic flooding in Louisiana.
Initially, the flash flood threat is mainly across the western half of the state today. That will then spread eastward Tuesday and early Wednesday. The models continue to struggle with how much rain may fall across the state this week. The GFS has some hefty totals…
But, nothing like the Canadian Model…
That is likely waaaaaay overdone. Regardless, a local flash flood threat is with us through the middle of the week.
It gets very steamy late this week as showers and thunderstorms increase once again. That continues into the weekend as a shot of cool air dives into the plains states…
The Ensembles show a nice blast of cool air sweeping in…
Most medium range models show highs a week from now in the 70s…
Yes, please!
The overall trend is a cooler one for the next couple of weeks…
I leave you with your rain and storm tracking toys…
Have a great day and take care.
That model rain miss rivals some of the past past snow ones 😉 Wild to go from an expected gully washer to barely a drop. It looked like it would rain based on clouds from the south, but went around us like big snow used to. Key word over past two years is Used to.
Mt. Vernon got hit with a brief, but good thundershower.
From what I understand, it’s the Bermuda High and it’s always there. Always.
Yeah, I was about to say the models handled this about as badly as they handle winter systems.
The NAM model has just been God awful lately
Had that front that’s stall up north of us dip down another 50-100 miles we be getting the mess that Illinois and Missouri is having now. I’m not complaining about the miss forecast the models were saying. but were not out of the woods yet.
Lawd, don’t start making comparisons like that or we’ll all start having unpleasant flashbacks.
It’s my fault, I just started trying a new ‘Rain-X’ type product and it’s hasn’t rained enough to test it for a week now. I think I jinxed it. Sorry, CB.
Bubba, glad to see you didn’t die of a heart attack from last Thursday’s episode of Ice Road Truckers!
Ice Road Truckers!
So far the heavy rain has been west or north of us here in western,Ky. Looking forward those cooler temps that’s headed our way next week..
Just read the OLD FARMERS ALMANAC winter forcast for the Ohio Valley region saying going to be snowy and colder this winter. Time will tell!!!!!
Those things are fantastic! I can’t think of a better charcoal starter I’ve used when grilling. I keep piles of them here just for that.
Its still fun to read lol
Go back to the Aug 11th post and see how badly the models forecast for central and SE KY.