Good Friday to one and all. September is wrapping up on a cool and damp note across the Commonwealth of Kentucky. This is all in response to a cutoff area of low pressure spinning right on top of us. This system will continue to slowly spin away from us as we say hello to October.
That doesn’t mean the pattern just goes straight back to boring for days on end. As a matter of fact, the overall setup across the country is revving up a bit.
Today’s drill is the same as the past couple of days. More clouds than son, with a few rounds of showers and storms rotating around the low. Local areas may see excessive rain amounts with this slow-mover, and that’s something for us to keep a close eye on.
Saturday should feature a few more showers and thunderstorms spinning around the low as it lifts northward. Temps will generally run in the 60s again.
Sunday is mainly dry, but there may be just enough leftover juice for isolated showers to pop.
Early next week looks ok as we turn our attention toward another cold front heading our way by the middle and end of the week. It’s at the same time we may find a powerful hurricane named Matthew sitting off the southeastern coastline.
This leaves open a lot of options of what happens with this whole mess. The GFS brings the hurricane into the Carolinas and up the east coast…
The European Model is quicker with the front heading into our region…
That blast of chill moving in here, helps the European Model keep Matthew just off the coast…
Again, lots of options are on the table with how Matthew interacts with the deep trough digging into the country.
Here’s something fun from the GFS for late in the second week of October…
Have a great Friday and take care.
As my mind shifts toward the winter fun I was wondering, what is the latest date for the first freeze (sub 32 air temp) of the year? Anyone out there know? Seems as if we may have one in the next few weeks…
I have personally seen a lot of years where the first freeze occurs deep in November in my neck of the woods. I will look for some data.
I’ve seen it not get below freezing until early November. Usually this is the time of the year we start to meander around the freezing mark for lows
Latest first freeze in Lexington was on November 27, 1902.
Here is what you’re looking for: http://www.weather.gov/jkl/frostfreezeclimo
This cut off low getting on my everlasting nerves just meandering around between Louisville and Owensboro. Talk about gloomy damp and dreary weather, I’ll be ecstatic to see this low leave the area.
Thanks as always, Chris. I’ll be looking out for your Winter Forecast with double the normal amount of snow for Lexington. 😉 (at least it’s been somewhat accurate recently)
As of now we have a trip to myrtle beach planned for next wednesday through Sunday……. Should I cancel Chris?
The wrong part of the state is getting rain: the upper low appears to be moving farther west instead of North and east.
Euro has one scratching head in regards to Matthew..Shifted west..Regardless a cat 3 Hurricane and looks to be getting stronger..Watch out Florida..