Happy New Year, Everyone! Here’s hoping 2017 brings each of you nothing but prosperity and happiness in whatever form you want. 🙂 In terms of the weather and 2017, the new year is kicking off with a very active setup right out of the gate.

This New Year’s Day may feature a shower or two with temps generally in the 40s, with some 50s in the south and west.

Temps will actually rise overnight into early Monday as southwesterly winds develop. This will boost temps deep into the 60s for many areas…

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With an area of low pressure passing across the region, showers and strong thunderstorms will develop as the day wears on…

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High winds and heavy rains are very possible for the second day of the new year.

Arctic air will then surge in here Tuesday night into early Wednesday. Check out some of the model forecast numbers by Wednesday morning…

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This is where we run into some question marks. Each model run is a little different with what they think happens with a couple of systems passing to our south late this week.

The lead system on Thursday may wind up trying to become the bigger deal as the arctic cold threatens to crush the second system behind it. That said, the new European Model is trending back toward a bigger system…

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That is showing some pretty good snows around here and is close to getting back to what it was showing a few days ago.

The Canadian Model is also pretty close to showing something bigger…

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What does all this show us? That forecasting the pattern is a much better way to go instead of waffling with each model run.

We’re still a few days away from the models fully understanding all the variables at play with this.

The arctic cold later this week into the weekend is impressive. The Canadian did well with the December cold shots we had. Here’s what it thinks will happen this coming weekend…

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I will have updates later today. Happy New Year and take care.