Good Wednesday, everyone. We have some very windy and mild weather for the next few days, but that’s not what you guys are looking for. It’s all about the potential for winter weather as we head into the upcoming weekend and early next week.
Winds will be very gusty out there today with temps in the upper 50s to low 60s. Those gusty winds will help boost temps into the 60s by Thursday.
A quick-hitting system moves in here early Friday with gusty showers and a big drop in temps. It’s possible to see a few flakes as the colder air moves in. That cold air then sets the stage for a potential winter weather maker this weekend.
The exact path and strength of this storm system is the determining factor on how much snow, if any, you get outside your house. The models have been jumping around a bit on recent runs, and that’s to be expected.
The new GFS is back to showing a healthy winter storm for much of the state Saturday and Sunday…
The snowfall map for that run shows a healthy hit for Kentucky into the Mid Atlantic states…
The European Model does not agree with that and continues to be weaker and farther south with a swath of accumulating snow…
The Canadian Model continues to be the weakest and farthest south model…
There is another system diving in here early next week. There is a decent chance for this thing to really dig in and amplify into a big system across the eastern half of the country. Here’s the GFS…
It won’t be until Thursday that we can finally get a full grasp on what our weekend system should bring our way.
I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
Seem like you might as well just wait and see what kind of weather your going to get. I don’t have much faith in all these computers myself.
I’m not buying it. Sorry. 🙁
Though, in fairness, it might be because you’re still trying to use your grandma’s Greenstamps as currency. 😉
No Top Value Stamps.
I agree, much a do about nothing Im afraid…fun to create a little drama I guess.
06z run of GFS this morning has went back to the southern solution with euro, Canadian..Fun to watch since most of the winter has been non-existent..
As with all winter snowstorm, it is really wait and see. This winter has pushed most into the “will not happen” camp, but we can hope. The storm is a few days out, and we have all seen the storms with snow total charts that look like a direct hit for our own area only to have that change 12 hours out. Again, we wait until Thursday and Friday.
The model trends clearly show a southern trend if you look at the progression of the models over the past few days. Nothing so far appears to say, mainly Kentucky for heavy snow. Some national mets think a flat direction is possible, but that would place it north of Kentucky based on where the flow is originating.
None the less, a few inches is not out of the realm of possible, just probably not the heavier stuff.
Just watched the weather channel and there say our state of ky is smack on as it tracks exact path in order to be a snow event. I really think these models are. not playing around this time. Time will tell
Seems this is following the same path as the system that went south of us and hit Tennessee with heavy snow. That system showed Kentucky a week out as the main path and then each day drifted south. Just like this one appears to be doing.
I have a 5K race on Saturday. Looks like it will be “fun” no matter what happens. Yay.
NOAA’s GOES-16 weather satellite released the first images from a new instrument that tracks lightning storms on Earth.
http://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2017/0306/New-NOAA-satellite-tracks-lightning-in-real-time-from-space
Never thought Id say “Go Canadian”
Ironic if CB goes into threat mode and the only time being end of winter.
I’m still reluctant to believe these computer models. I think the trend will hold and we will miss out. It seems storms targeted for us more than a day out end up being a miss.
06Z GFS moves back south. TN/KY border counties and east TN biggest hit. Should this actually happen (and I still have serious doubts), this is my preferred track.
The way this winter has gone, the storm this weekend will probably be a bust. You can’t trust any model more than 48 hours before the storm hits your area. BOTS!
This is the first promising track all winter this close to a storm. It might not happen, but this is the best model runs of the season for anything much more than a dusting.
If the RoloCoaster chimes in the bread and milk will disappear at Kroger’s.
One thing I like about March storms is that they don’t lay around long.
Catch is the Rolocoaster changes direction fast. By the time you are in checkout with your bread and milk, Rolo changes forecast from old school to bust!
That is why it is the Rolocoaster 🙂
Rolo is the GOAT of the board. You can tell what kind of winter it has been with his sparse participation. If Rolo appears it might (or might not) be a good one.
No, just…..no.
They are already pre-treating in Knox County
The way this is trending, very south KY might get some heavier snow. This is looking even more like the last and only other best chance we had that also went south of us.
The irony is neither solution would have hit most of Kentucky. The flat path equals mainly Ohio and south path equals mainly Tennessee.
More salt than snow again?
More salt than snow? Yes so far way more salt.
Looks like an oldfashioned smackdown very possible along the Ky. – Tn. border as the models get closer to the event. No matter what the downer sages say.
Thanks Chris. After reading all the comments what strikes me as most ironic is the fact that we are all ready for Spring now that we’ve been teased with it for the past few weeks. To me, that means all bets are off and we could see a big snow. Will we? No idea, but I will say that it won’t stay around very long as we are talking about warmer temps again next week. Still, I have seen some big snows in March….time will tell. Have a great Hump Day everyone!
I think this will be a shoutdown snow
Upcoming system just coming into to NAM Range, 12z quite dynamic.
Nam looks like GFS but a little warmer but still looks great this far out to see it in agreement of placement.
What does that mean
It means if you live in southern Kentucky and Tennessee you might get some accumulating snow.
CB tweeted pretty much what was expected. The trend is south with impact being southern KY and mainly Tennessee. Put a fork in it. Please no more salt. I get it when cold and on hills, but the salt to snow ratio is already at an absurd level of silly.