Good Sunday to one and all. We are ending the weekend with a serious surge of awesome temps rolling into the region. This spike in the numbers will take control of our weather in the coming week. So, if you’re a fan of May, you get it a little early this year. 🙂
I’m also going to briefly touch on the summer ahead and the possible implications of a developing El Nino.
Highs today hit the 70s across the entire state under gorgeous sunny skies. Readings by Monday can make a run at 80 in most areas.
A cold front moves in on Tuesday with a broken line of showers and storms. This may last into Wednesday morning, with a little dip in temps.
That won’t last very long, check out the warm air surging back in for Thursday and Friday…
This stormy spring setup is likely to kick back into high gear late next weekend into the following week, as the warm air continues.
Speaking of warm, it’s looking more and more like the equatorial waters of the Pacific will continue to warm toward El Nino Status. The seasonal CFS shows this heading toward a weak-moderate El Nino…
The European Seasonal Model is similar…
Here’s the CFS showing those warmer than normal waters developing…
That’s a very warm look for the entire Pacific Ocean.
What does a developing El Nino mean for us? Many El Nino summers skew a little cooler than normal around here, especially as summer wears on. Of course, there isn’t a whole lot about the weather that is ‘normal’ any longer, so I’m going to be looking at other factors over the next few weeks before getting too specific.
My initial thought for the summer is a tropical feeling one.
Have a great day and take care.
Chris, I agree with your short term forecast for the upcoming week. The week following Easter is too far off for me to get a handle on what is going to happen in the central and northern plains. I will study this and post my findings after Easter. You bringing up El Nino is interesting to me as we are clearly in an La Nino pattern and have been since last September 2016. This pattern is still in place and I don’t see any end in site. Have a great Palm Sunday everyone.
Models suggest an end in site, what do you see that would suggest LA Nino will continue?
Summer around here is almost always a tropical feeling one, from mid June through early September its 70s dew points with scattered storms almost daily.. or so it seems.
Chris will they affect the winter next year??
That
We’ve had a little bit of May during like every month of the last fall and winter, so we’re pretty much ready at this point.
Hackers simultaneously set off all of the weather sirens in Dallas yesterday
http://youtu.be/1ov_X2K45ww
Shifting, from La Nina to an El Nino, the trade winds would have to reverse in the Equatorial Pacific. This would bring in warmer sea surface temperatures east towards Peru and Ecuador. At this time, I don’t see this happening too soon. La Nina seems to dominate more than El Nino here lately. NOAA is forecasting an active Hurricane season in the Atlantic for 2017, which means that La Nina is still the dominate anomaly.
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Nothing you just said is true. Literally… nothing. I’ve given you a lengthy leash with your comments, but my patience is nearing an end.
You tell him Chris
Good Call!
Not a very professional response Chris. I would like to know what was wrong with me talking about El nino. I expect a reply very soon. About your patience nearing an end, you need to explain that to me, as I have not said anything to offend you personally.
Your info is usually very misleading and non-factual. You always try to doubt CB’s info and always try to “one up” him.