Good afternoon, gang. It’s a cloudy and seasonally chilly day in what should turn out to be a colder than normal November in our part of the world. It’s all eyes on the big weekend storm system, threatening to bring high winds, strong storms and a few snowflakes our way.

Folks, my thoughts on this system haven’t changed a whole lot over the past week. The usual timing and intensity issues are being ironed out, but this continues to look like a major storm system working into the Great Lakes on Saturday.

It drags a cold front across Kentucky Saturday afternoon, with the potential for a line of strong to severe thunderstorms…

The Storm Prediction Center is highlighting the potential…

Damaging wind is by far and away the number one threat.

Even without thunderstorms, high winds are going to be a player. Gusts of 50mph will be possible late Friday night into Saturday.

As the front slams through here, much colder air surges in, potentially catching the back edge of the departing rain shield. The NAM continues to show a few flakes mixing in Saturday night…

Northwesterly winds then really crank on Sunday and that could produce a few flurries or snow showers, especially in the east. The GFS is now seeing this a little better…

You can see Lake Michigan sending a plume of flakes in here on that northwest wind. Doesn’t that look an awful lot like the flakes map the Ensembles have been showing consistently? Yep.

I will try to update things later today, but things will be a little busy for me. I will be doing the winter forecast on WKYT at 6. You can catch that on http://www.wkyt.com/livestream . I will also be doing a Facebook live starting at 7.

Enjoy your day and take care.