Good Monday, everybody. We have a cold front rumbling across Kentucky, bringing gusty winds and some rumbles of thunder. This is the first of two cold fronts I’m tracking through the coming weekend, with the second one having a little more of a winter look with it.
As usual, let’s begin with today and stumble our way down the weather road.
Temps are mild ahead of our front, but the winds are cranking out there. Gusts of 40-45mph are possible, especially across central and western Kentucky. Showers and isolated thunderstorms are also rolling eastward…
The cold front sweeps to our east tonight, with a colder wind setting in from the northwest. That wind may fire up a rain or snow shower Tuesday into Tuesday night…
A seasonal chill will then last into Wednesday, before temps jump back up later in the week.
This jump is ahead of another system working our way this weekend. The GFS is flatter and more progressive than recent runs of the European Model…
Colder air comes in behind that storm, with the potential for some winter weather. That should be followed up by another rebound in temps to close out January.
It continues to look like a big flip back to a very wintry pattern as we head into February. Watch how the GFS is bringing that deep trough back into the country…
I will update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
My Air Force Weather Officer buddy says the chance of a major winter storm riding up the coast are high, He says all the signs are there showing this storm riding up the coast in February are there. Hoping that it happens would love to see 2 ft or more of snow.
Ummm … a major storm riding up the “coast” wouldn’t bring snow to most of Kentucky. Rodger in Dodger
Former; looking at the ” projected” GFS TRACK it does bear some striking reality of major snow we had in the Feb 3-5 1998 storm where we received 18″ ( aka known as the famous “dusting”) a strong low developed over lousiana/ Florida panhandle moved across to the Va/Nc border just offshore and tapped into the Atlantic moisture and sent us all of that RAP around moisture, and it occurred around the same dates the GFS is showing.. As we all know however the GFS and all other products will change many many times before that event occurs is just a beginning chances of that occurring are probably rather slim but the set up could possibly happen be interesting to wait and see what develops…Doc
East coast storms termed ” Nor Easter ” almost always brings cold, dry Arctic air to our region. However, Eastern Kentucky could receive a decent snow, depending how far inland the low pressure tracts.
I’m good with the east coast getting it again:) Already just shoveling five inches, plus all the salt has gotten old. Let em’ get it. Cold rain to wash the salt away FTW!
Seriously, funny how when the kids are older I shifted from Snow fan to No fan. Practicality of not dealing with the snow wins for me.
Dude, pay someone $20 and have it shoveled. Snow is about the beauty it brings. you cant tell me you don’t enjoy the excitement of snow and the beauty it brings!!!
It usually melts around here 4 or 5 days at the most anyways!
I don’t shovel snow anymore, but I enjoyed it and looked forward to it when I was younger. When it snowed I use to get $1.00 per driveway.
BengalFan, your right about the snow it does brings beauty to our landscape and it makes you like a kid again lol
If it rides up the east coast most of the snow will be way east of our area.
Back on the ol” weather roller coaster again, I see! (insert eye roll here)……Keeps things interesting anyway. Thanks for all the info you continue to provide here, Mr. Bailey!!
Showers and thunder are welcome, just as long as we have a snowstorm this coming weekend.
Exactly,depends on how deep the low intensity is and position. I remember in the 98 storm the snow cut off line was so sharp louisville got very little where we& E ky got socked….Doc
There’s no mention of snow this weekend unless I missed something??????
That’s correct, was referring to the Feb 2 GFS run could be a snow event around then
If your talking about the Feb 3rd-6th snowstorm of 1998 Louisville ended up with 22.4 inches of snow from that system.
I’m sorry I stand corrected I was thinking of the 1993 superstorm Didn’t mean to leave louisville out of the fun lol
Maybe Louisville in Illinois. We in Louisville KY received 22.4″ over 3 days with our greatest snow depth at 18″.
Again I stand corrected as I commented to Prelude I meant to say the 1993 superstorm
Most of Ky really got hit hard in 98. Anyone remember the 1978 blizzard? Seen a documentary about that one on NOVA recently.
Yeah I remember It somewhat. It literally was my very first weather memory. I was 4 years old I was living In East Providence Rhode Island you can literally jump off the second story of a house and land in a snow drift and be completely fine.
“1978 Blizzard ” I was out in it. It was down right scary and I don’t want to see anything like that again !!
Rodger was 12 during the Blizzard of 1978. It was probably a once in a lifetime event for us. Totally unexpected record dropping low pressure going almost completely due north to Cleveland OH. An unlikely but whopping track for the region. Rodger in Dodger
Walking out into a blizzard is fool hardy. On that January night in 1978, my brother and I had to dig out a stranded car with a sick woman inside. When we left the front door of our house and headed down to the car, it was like someone through a white sheet over our heads and the wind was blowing so hard we almost got wiped out. We couldn’t get the car free and had to call emergency services, who sent out the National Guard to help get the woman to the hospital. Not a fun night. Next day we had a twenty foot snowdrift in our driveway and the actual temperature was – eighteen degrees with a wind chill of – forty. Terrible storm. You youngsters out there will most likely see a blizzard in your life time. I wont, I hope ?
Spelling correction threw a white sheet over us.
I remember the blizzard of 78. My dad had to dig his car out of the snow and when finished and tried to get into the car the lock on the car were frozen solid, I remember him cussing up a storm.
I was 28 years old and remember it very well. The National Guard came to town and help haul the snow away.
This was the city of Jackson, Ohio. I was born and raised in the country. In 1994 we had over 2 feet of snow. It was 40 below zero that night in the country. Trees were popping like gun shots going off.
With that upper level model that Chris displayed on this mornings blog, there are a lot of chances for accumulating snow through February.
I didn’t hear a lot of hoopla over the state’s weather records. So, I’m going to throw them in here.
January 19, 1994…state’s lowest temperature at -37 degrees in Shelbyville.
January 20, 1978…state’s greatest snow depth at 31″ in LaGrange.
One of the things I remember with all the snow on the ground in 1978 was trouble with livestock. It wasn’t one big 30″ snow, it was snow that came every few days. There would always be a day or so of sunshine that would melt the very top of the snow before it froze back again and formed a hard crunchy layer. The snow was deep enough and hard enough that livestock in some areas were literally just stepping over fences and escaping.
All the mention of the past snow storms are cool. I was nine in 78 for the 16 inches. That was my first deep deep snow event and that came a year after walking on a frozen Ohio river and Louisville’s only ever Blizzard. The famous 94′ 1inch snow storm (18inches) with below zero temps for a week. UPS shut down for a week. You know that its a storm when they shut down. The 98 storm which was the east coast stalled storm off Va Beach and fed moisture over the Apps all the way back into Louisville for three days straight. Those were the good snow as I was not into the Landscaping business then and got to enjoy the snow. Now it is work work work when the storms roll in. Not complaining at all because the dollars fly in as well.
Bold prediction #2 from CB should be above normal snow fall for all of Kentucky before winter is over. We avg 12.5 in the metro per winter season. I say we double that before this winter is over.
The snowstorm of 1998 precipitation shield went way past Louisville all the way to St.Louis pretty impressive since the moisture was coming off the Atlantic. If memory serves me correctly with the snowstorm of 1998 I believe a piece of that storm broke off in the Ohio Valley. That piece just sat over the Ohio Valley there was no kicker out to the west to move that piece of energy so it just meander. That piece of energy just snow itself out over Kentucky.
The mack daddy snow storm for my area in southern middle tn was in 85. 10 to 12 inches with temps that have never had any equal for this area. We hunted some mornings with real temps at -10 to -15. It snowed that foot the first week of jan, and we never set foot in school until feb. It would melt a little and snow again over and over. Lost our spring break and part of summer that year. I was born in 74, so don’t remember the big 70s snowfalls but that was an amazing era. Good ol days.
Seeing pictures from friends in Nebraska who are under the blizzard warning. Snow sure is pretty. I have such great memories of my winters out there!
I guess I will set my clock for Feb 4th or there abouts. Looks to be about when the latest warm wave leaves.