Heavy Rain This Weekend

Good Friday to one and all. It’s an absolutely gorgeous day out there, with some sunshine and temps on the mild side. This won’t last very long, as a big rain event targets parts of Kentucky over the weekend. This may set the stage for some local high water issues to develop. There’s also a window for a touch of winter weather to end the weekend.

Before we get to all that, the January temperature numbers are in and it was the 22nd coldest January on record for Kentucky…

That database goes back to 1895. Considering we had a few very mild days in here, that’s pretty incredible. That cold comes right after a slightly colder than normal December.

The first 8 days of February have also been much colder than normal in Kentucky…

Moral of the story… this winter is going to average colder than normal.

Today is not among the colder than normal days, with highs reaching deep into the 50s to near 60. Clouds will increase and winds will gusty up ahead of our weekend system.

A cold front moves in and slows down, allowing two waves of low pressure to work along it. The first moves in Saturday into Saturday night, with heavy rain the primary player. The next wave late Sunday into Monday may have a more wintry side to it.

Here’s how the NAM sees things through Monday morning…

The heavy rain with this run is much broader and farther north and west than earlier runs. Here’s the forecast through Monday morning…

That would bring the flood threat into much of central and eastern Kentucky.

The new GFS is also broader and trending north and west…

Given all that, I’ve expanded the greatest risk for high water…

The second wave of low pressure developing later Sunday into early Monday has more of a wintry aspect to it. Here’s the freezing rain forecast from the NAM…

Here’s the same look from the GFS…

Snow on the NAM…

Snow on the GFS…

I will hook you up with updates later today, so check back.

Make it a good one and take care.

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18 Responses to Heavy Rain This Weekend

  1. Virgil says:


  2. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. About to turn the corner and get on that spring train! Almost mid February and your thoughts are not promising on winter precipitation (meaning snow). Makes me start getting that spring project itch. Have a great Friday.

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      What project are you thinking about this year? It is my goal to dust behind the computer monitor between now and summer.

  3. Bernard P. Fife says:

    Nothing like a hard rain to suck the life out of this place. Thelma Lou is hoping the heavier rains miss this part of the state she’s in no mood for road closures.

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      “Suck the life out of this place”…do we have any more drama queens out there who want to comment? This place is as lively as it has been in weeks. What I find funny is that people do not want heavy rains, but they pray for 24 inch snow events that shut entire roads, school systems, churches, places of employment, and even certain medical services. These snow events also limit the availability of first responders. Yeah…pray that the “rain” misses us, but then hope to the maker that we get “The Big One” when it comes to snow. I love this place, but the irony is everlasting.

  4. Mike says:

    #teambringbackwinterandletsgoforsnow 🙂

  5. Jamie says:


    This winter can take a hike. I am so done with the cloudy gray, and the 33-degree rain. Thanks to the hard freeze in January everything looks extra dead now and just depressing.

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      Depressing may be a strong word, but I can see what you are saying. We need more color, life, and energy around these parts. Bring on the sun.

  6. Troy says:

    I’m not greedy and love to share, so hoping this thing will move another 75 miles northwest so we can all share the misery! 🙂

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      A rain event is no where near as miserable as a snow event that is large enough that people cannot even get out of their driveways. We pray for the large snow events, but we want rain to go away because it is “miserable”? Hmph.

      • Andy Rose says:

        Spoken like someone who hasn’t been affected road closures due to flood water.

        • Admiral Ackbar says:

          What about natural road closures such that people who depend on their paychecks cannot get to work because the hill/valley in which they live will not allow access back and forth to their home? Let’s talk about it.

  7. Ralph says:

    Ackbar/Schroeder doesn’t like the snow because his snow cone truck gets stuck easy and the kids don’t come out.

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      How did you know that my one-wheeled drive car has trouble supporting my 10 kids during snow events? I apologize for not being more transparent up front.

  8. Andy Rose says:

    Flood WARNINGS already being issued.

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