Updating The Potential for Storms and Snow

Good afternoon, everyone. We continue to track a super-duper active pattern across our part of the world. It’s one that will deliver thunderstorms, heavy rain, and some snow over the next few days. As I look farther down the weather road, I see a lot of wet weather returning.

Let’s focus on the next few days, as we have two storm systems moving in. The first arrives Monday with widespread showers and thunderstorms developing from west to east. The track of the low is across southern Kentucky, with the potential for strong or severe storms south of that track. This puts areas of western and far southern Kentucky at risk for a few severe storms on Monday…

Given the amount of shear ahead of that low, central Tennessee could be looking at one heck of a severe weather outbreak, with a few tornadoes possible. If you live in southern parts of the bluegrass state, we will be watching your area very closely.

Heavy rain will also be noted over the next few days, with some 1″-2″ rain amounts possible…

A second low then develops and works into far southeastern Kentucky late Tuesday into Wednesday. That will bring rain and some snow back into the region, with the potential for another comma head of snow. Where does that set up? The NAM likes central and eastern Kentucky…

The hot off the presses European Model is similar, but it’s even more generous with the snow…

The GFS is targeting areas of Ohio with the best snow potential…

No offense, buckeyes, but you can have it.

The Canadian is a cross between the two models, but it does keep the heaviest snow in Ohio…

There are still lots of uncertainties on where that second low tracks, and just how strong it gets. Stay tuned!

For the past few months, I haven’t been shy about getting you guys ready for this hyper-active pattern we have been in since the middle of February. This pattern keeps rolling on and I think it takes us right on through spring. My growing concern is for a ramped up severe weather season and spring flood season.

The GFS precipitation totals over the next few weeks aren’t going to work out exactly, but they are showing the potential for a lot of water…

Enjoy the rest of your Sunday and take care.

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7 Responses to Updating The Potential for Storms and Snow

  1. Coffeelady says:

    Wow! Thanks Chris. Not liking the wet potential on the long range. Afraid that means I’ll be wearing winter clothes until July! Hope you are wrong on tgst one Chris, although I doubt it because you are usually right. Anyway guess we will see. Have a great afternoon all.

  2. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, Looks like everything is going to be thrown at us except the kitchen sink. A tornado outbreak in Tennessee, and maybe in southern Kentucky ? This weather type scares the hell out of me, because you never know where these tornadoes are going to spin up. I’ll take one more snowstorm and then a dryer, and quiet Spring and Summer. But I know this is not going to happen here in the Ohio River Valley. Have a good afternoon and evening everyone, and keep up on Chris’s blog for further updates on the severe weather potential.

  3. LOUTeach says:

    Thanks for the updates CB! It’s been such a beautiful, sunny day here in Louisville! Wish it would hand around. Everything is beginning to bud now. Sigh.

  4. Jimbo says:

    I don’t care if I see any snow till this Thanksgiving. But it is so typical to see that big donut hole in the middle of WV on the Euro snow map.

  5. Chris says:

    Southern Kentucky hasn’t had any snow this winter. So of course the last chance goes to Ohio.

  6. PattyVersailles says:

    Every spring there’s always winter holding out!!! I’ve seen snow in April! Don’t like it much though. I suppose we have no choice in the matter since mother nature has all the say! Thanks for the warning Chris!

  7. ShannyK says:

    Your tborite Columbus Ohio Buckeye teachers are not happy you are blessing us both your hopes for snow. Thumbs down.

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