Good Monday everyone and welcome to a stormy start to the week. We have a line of showers and thunderstorms working quickly across the state today as a cold front slams in from the west. This is all part of a fairly wild temperature ride we have been on over the past few weeks and that ride shows no signs of letting up.
Let’s start with what’s going on today with our cold front. This front is producing a fairly weak line of showers and thunderstorms. This line will cross the state pretty quickly and I expect the storms to behave themselves. We will keep an eye on far eastern Kentucky for the possibility of a strong storm or two, but the timing on the front isn’t the best in the world for severe weather.
Here’s the regional radar…
Winds will be very gusty today and may approach 30-40mph at times. Temps will generally run in the upper 60s and low 70s for highs, but may be warmer in the east ahead of the front.
Cooler temps will work in for Tuesday with highs running in the 60s with a mix of sun and clouds. The roller coaster starts back up hill on Wednesday with highs warming toward 70 and then into the 70s for Thursday and Friday.
That brings us to the weekend and what is likely to be a major dip in the jet stream across the eastern half of the country. This dip may result in a big area of low pressure and cutoff upper low that would bring us some very chilly air into the first part of next week.
The European Model…
Looks a lot like what we would see in the wintertime. The GFS Ensembles also show the big chill…
Another round of frost and freezing weather will be possible during this time. Buckle up for the ride!
Have a wonderful Monday and take care.
The rain systems have been underperforming in my neck of the woods for the past few weeks. My yard is very dry. Hopefully this line won’t completely fall apart.
I have to admit, I’m very surprised at how April is turning out. I really expected to see the severe weather outbreaks continue into the OH Valley. We’ve been fortunate that it’s been very very quiet around here during the month of April.
It has been awful quiet, I don’t expect it to last though. I would at least like something to track and spot.
We of course still have May coming up, perhaps the third most hazardous month (after March and April) for twisters in our area.
From about June on, we can let down our guard a little – at least for stronger tornadoes – as stronger twisters by then tend to stay north and northwest of KY.
La Niña years are known for having more strong twisters; La Niña is now forecast to end in a few weeks, although as WXman pointed out, severe wx can happen outside La Niña. BTW, the downtown Nashville twister and the so-called “forgotten F5” of south-central TN happened this very day in 1998 (an El Niño year) . Yet another twister hit near Cleveland TN with a fatality; near where I lived as a teenager. This startled me into taking watches and warnings a lot more seriously.
I have pray hard and god listened…..
good work yesterday on TELETHON BAILEY. u and the whole team rock.
Glad to hear nothing severe. But I don’t like hearing tha col,d stuff again…my poor outdoor plants can’t decide what they need to do, bloom and freeze, or stop short of blooming and freeze. In any event, we need to get to some kind of a happy medium…my closet is confused as well 😉
Thanks, Chris, for the update. Have a great Monday, everyone.
Only 2/10ths of an inch of rain on my parched yard. I was expecting a whole lot more. When is the next rain chance?
Check out the forecast for Sunday: http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=37.747857,-84.294654. That’s crazy!