A Lot Of Rain On The Way

Good Saturday, folks. A cold front is slamming on the brakes across our region, leading to a few rounds of showers and storms this weekend. The action will really pick up into the first half of next week as we find this area in the battle zone between summer and very cold early season temps. The end result: A lot of water is going to fall.

Today’s weather relationship status is complicated. Why? Because a front is slowing down across the southern half of the state, leading to some big time temperature and precipitation swings. South of the boundary are in the low and mid 70s. North of the boundary may struggle into the low and mid 60s.

It’s not going to be wall to wall rain today, but you will need to keep the umbrellas and ponchos handy. Many of you will see several dry hours today, but the southwestern sky will begin to light up with showers and a few thunderstorms working in. That action may increase by late this afternoon into the evening…

Showers and a few thunderstorms will be around Sunday, but it’s not likely to rain all day.

The setup from Monday through Wednesday continues to get more and more of my attention. It’s a potent setup for torrential rains that can cause flooding issues. It’s basically fall verses summer and we are the battle zone. Watch the repeat rain action…

The forecast models continue to be full steam ahead on some big rain numbers showing up through next week…

GFS

Canadian

Those kinds of numbers can cause flooding issues to develop and could make this the wettest September on record for the state.

The pattern continues to see the cold air overwhelming the country into early October. Check out the CFS temp departures for the first 10 days of the month…

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.


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14 Responses to A Lot Of Rain On The Way

  1. Mike S says:

    Wow…WPC shows potential for widespread 4-6″ amounts over the next 5 days. Hope that does not happen.

  2. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. Visiting north eastern Ohio this weekend it keeping an eye on the weather at home. I hope the rain amounts don’t verify. That could be disastrous for a lot of folks. At least we should have a decent day up here. Stay safe and dry everyone and Go CATS!!

  3. Schroeder says:

    Yesterday, my county of Taylor we received 0.52 inches of rain from one rain shower occurring in the mid morning, and in the evening the cold front entered my county and we had another rain shower, after that a quiet night. Chris, if you would, please explain why these cold fronts continue to go stationary over the state of Kentucky and not move into the southeast as I have seen in past Autumn’s ? I have a good idea of what’s causing this on going weather event. I just want to read your thoughts. If we get the heavy rains that are forecast for the middle of next week and then a most welcome real cold front in early October with the first frost, then that would be a major weather pattern change. If this doesn’t pan out and we continue this same old weather pattern I would have to conclude that Autumn will be late again this year ?

    • Prelude says:

      And I have a good idea on what Schroeder’s good idea is on what’s causing the cold fronts to become stationary over the state of Kentucky. Wait for it… It’s Climate Change!!!

      • Jeff K. says:

        I’m surprised he’s even asking for Chris’s opinion since he contradicts everything Chris says because he knows more about weather than an actual meteorologist.

      • Schroeder says:

        Actually, it’s strong high pressure to our southeast and into the Atlantic which is not unusual for this time of year. The unusual characteristics of this high pressure is it’s persistence and it’s size and I believe the barometric pressure is high also ? Not sure. Now it has been showing signs of some erosion which is bringing some changes but still preventing cold fronts from moving south into the Gulf. I hope this changes so we may enjoy fine Fall weather with frosty mornings and mild, dry clear afternoons with high temperatures in the sixties. Yes, this whole year would be an example of climate change events.

        • Weather weenie says:

          Schroeder, I just want to let you know that I very much enjoy your posts and always look forward to reading them. It is obvious you are extremely knowledgeable and curious about weather and it’s effects. I do not understand or care to understand why prelude and Jeff k continue to troll your comments. I’ve seen it for awhile and it’s pathetic. Grow up boys.

  4. Terry says:

    Uggg…first day of fall with a tropical feel in Harlan. The dew point is right at 70. I am over summer and look forward to next weekend cool blast.

    • Andy Rose says:

      Just got 1.8 inches of rain in a very short amount of time in Knox County. Some places got even more.

      • Terry says:

        The NWS should expand the flood watch on SE as far SE KY is highlighted for training storms tonight. Our area may actually receive higher totals than areas farther NW in the flood watch. I have no idea why Harlan, Bell, Knox and Whitley are left out of the watch tonight!

  5. Schroeder says:

    Chris, I know you release your winter outlook in November, but are you going to release a preliminary winter outlook like you did last year in early October ? Everyone appreciated that last year. Thanks have a good afternoon.

  6. SHAAK says:

    It was definitely wall to wall rain today and now.

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