Storms On The Increase

Good Thursday, folks. A weak cold front is dropping into the Ohio Valley today, bringing an increase in showers and thunderstorms. This is the first of two fronts making a run at us as we roll into the upcoming weekend. These fronts never actually clear the region, but we are watching for one that will later next week. That one may get  a boost from the tropics.

Today is another windy, warm and humid day with scattered storms going up. By later this afternoon and evening, a line of showers and storms will then drop in from the north and northwest. That line can put down some very heavy rains for a few spots and I can’t rule out a strong storm or two.

Track away…

Our front will slowly lift back to the north on Friday, keeping the threat for a few showers and storms going into the weekend..

Highs are generally hitting the low and middle 80s.

That brings us to next week and the potential for tropical trouble to develop in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico. The timing on such a system may coincide with the western trough sliding east finally.

The Canadian continues with the Gulf storm that slides northward along a front into our region…

The GFS is sniffing out the same idea, but doesn’t develop the system as much as the Canadian does…

Both of those finally break down this summer pattern and introduce us to some real deal fall.

Have a great day and take care.

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21 Responses to Storms On The Increase

  1. Terry says:

    It may balance out some after the 15th but I have a hunch this may end up at least in the top 10 warmest overall October averages as the first two weeks are going to average closer to August normal temps☹

  2. Schroeder says:

    I am starting to get use to this subtropical climate. Everyone keeps talking about normal, but what does that mean ? Normal is just a word that Man made up to measure something. In nature, there are no words to measure anything on Earth. The weather will change, it always has and always will. We will have to take the weather as it comes whatever type it is.

  3. Jimbo says:

    It’s actually been a pretty easy 5 months to forecast in our area. Just keep using the same forecast every day. Only change was the mention of the tropics began around Sept 1st.

  4. Schroeder says:

    The snow pack in Canada as shown on the Ventusky site is increasing and I couldn’t find any one place in Canada above freezing. It is strange that the snow line ends right at the US / Canada border. It’s the jet stream ( which at the present are westerly across Canada ) that is keeping our Autumn weather on hold here in the Ohio Valley. The question to ask is :Why is the jet stream in the same place for the past several months ? It’s the warm surface sea temperatures in the Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans. The contrast in temperatures is amazing between Canada and the Ohio Valley. The weather is going to get very interesting when this jet stream dives south and collides with this humid, tropical air over almost all of the US. Probably in the form of blizzards, severe thunderstorms, tornadoes followed by an extended period of frigid Arctic cold. But this depends on a lot of other factors that affect our weather here in the Ohio Valley.

  5. Schroeder says:

    #climatechangeevent is coming.

    • Prelude says:

      The contrast in temperatures is amazing between Canada and the Ohio Valley!?! Unbelievable! Thanks so much Schroeder for pointing out the blatant obvious. Until you just posted that I just thought Canada and the Ohio Valley should be similar in temperatures. Who would of thought!?!

      • Schroeder says:

        No, there really is a tremendous temperature change between Canada and the Ohio valley. More so this year for being so early in the Autumn season.

    • Bryan says:

      Perhaps you’ll quit posting here, as promised, before said event occurs

      • Schroeder says:

        No, I’m not going to quit posting, unless Chris Bailey tells me to stop. I enjoy talking meteorology despite the friction I seem to attract.

    • SpaceGhost says:

      You can’t ascribe any one event to be the result of global warming/ climate change. In a globally warmer world, extreme events will simply become more commonplace…

      • Schroeder says:

        You still don’t understand. It’s not global warming and it’s not global cooling it’s the extreme events that have been happening all over the world ever since the last Ice Age. These events include intense thunderstorms, blizzards, ice storms, heavy wet snowstorms, Earthquakes, drought, extreme heatwaves, cold waves, etc. Unfortunately, these weather events are accelerating at an alarming rate. #climatechangeevents

  6. Matt says:

    Low and mid 70s dew points, you don’t see that much around here in October..

  7. winter lover says:

    Yes I have seen it this warm this time of year, yes the pattern will change in time and yes winter will return soon.

    • Schroeder says:

      Maybe more winter than you want or can handle.

      • winter lover says:

        Schroeder, if I had survive the late 70’s brutal winter’s something we have not experienced or have come close since then I will make it. So I can say bring it on mother nature what ever it chooses to bring

        • Terry says:

          I could see a 4 ft snow and not get tired of it unless we were still seeing more after March☺

          • Crystal In Pikeville says:

            Me too Terry,I love the snow wish we got more of it. I saw where it’s pouring the snow in Montana and Colorado tonight!

        • Schroeder says:

          That blizzard that occurred in January 1978 is a perfect example of a climate change event. The very warm Fall so far this year is another example of a climate change event.

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