Good Sunday, folks. Our fickle winter storm is having another mood swing today, bringing another round of accumulating snow to parts of the region. While the north gets the most, a period of light snow later tonight could impact other parts of the state.
Northern Kentucky continues to be in the line of fire for the possibility of a few to several more inches of snow early today. Here’s a look at the current Winter Weather Alerts for this area…
We actually have the models on a similar page in showing the far northern parts of the state getting in on the early day snows, with some lighter stuff into the rest of central and eastern Kentucky later today into tonight…
GFS
Hi Res NAM
NAM
A few flakes are leftover on Monday with a seasonal chill taking us into the middle of the week. The next system moving in for Thursday and early Friday is a light rain maker, but it sets the stage for another monster of a storm system this weekend.
That system still has a long way to go before it shows us exactly what that means for our weather, but the early signs are for rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow to go along with a huge temperature drop.
This is a low forming along a modified arctic boundary sliding in from the northwest. How far south that arctic air gets before the low pops will be the deciding factor on what track the storm takes.
The models all have a big storm with every form of precipitation for Kentucky…
New version of the GFS
The European Model is a February 2003 redux
The Canadian
GFS
That’s a heck of a look for a wild storm system in our region and may be one of several hefty systems to impact us over the next few weeks, at least.
The GFS Ensembles snow forecast for the next 2 weeks is not holding back…
That’s the average of 21 different runs.
Temperatures may also be going to the extreme across much of the country. Look at these departures…
That’s some crazy cold and it’s echoed by the average of the 21 member GFS Ensembles…
Remember, those are in Celsius and not Fahrenheit.
This pattern isn’t going to mess around and could wind up to be a memorable one for much of the country.
I will hook you up with updates later today, so check back. Until then, here are your early Sunday snow and rain tracking tools…
Until then, track away…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio Lexington
I-75 @ Newtown Pike Lexington
I-75/I-65 Northern Split Lexington
I-75 MP 127 Georgetown
I-64 at KY-801 Near Morehead
I-64 MP 97 Winchester
Florence
Covington
Louisville
Have a good one and take care.
34 Comments
BubbaG on January 13, 2019 at 6:46 am
I will pretend CB did not mention freezing rain and 2003.
Terry on January 13, 2019 at 7:21 am
My thoughts are we will have to deal with ice at some point over the next several weeks if the subjet keeps roaring with arctic air entrenched over us. SE KY doesn’t see a lot of freezing rain events due to downslope effect (warming winds) as most lows go over or to the west of us leaving us in cold rain but I have seen a few, nothing like you all had in 2003!
Andy Rose on January 13, 2019 at 8:18 am
The last ice storm I remember down here was back in the early or mid 90s
Don’t know what went wrong there..anyways showing -20s in northern ky with -teens in the southern counties..
Terry on January 13, 2019 at 8:44 am
All of this cold is POSSIBLE but we will have to have a snowpack to achieve those numbers this far south. If not, you could easily add 10 to 20 degrees back to those numbers which would still be single digits!
I pray for the snowpack but still don’t want negative numbers!:)
Cold-Rain on January 13, 2019 at 9:49 am
Yea really doubt those numbers..Don’t want single digits neither..Hate cold dry air..Believe the new GFS is like the Nam..Likes to over do things..
Dottie on January 13, 2019 at 10:05 am
Cold-Rain, That just makes me sick to my stomach. The 2003 ice storm left me without power for close to a month. My anxiety is now starting to kick in. 🙁
Cold-Rain on January 13, 2019 at 12:41 pm
Wouldn’t worry about it now or worry about it at all..Can’t take models seriously this far out..Long ways to go..
BubbaG on January 13, 2019 at 1:44 pm
The models suck at snow, but sadly not the same with ice. Just sayin’.
Chris Mercer on January 13, 2019 at 8:30 am
Nearing the halfway point of winter of so far its been very mild. Temps in December finished about 5 degrees above normal in Lexington and so far January is 7 degrees above normal. If the cold that is coming balances this out to even normal, it will be brutal cold!
Jim B on January 13, 2019 at 9:50 am
Not gonna happen, and me personally, glad it’s not
Jeff Hamlin on January 13, 2019 at 10:20 am
You are wrong.
Jim B on January 13, 2019 at 10:31 am
Is what it is…. I will point out, you have said I would be wrong up to this point haha
BubbaG on January 13, 2019 at 10:36 am
Hams, you’re jinxing snow fans, since each time so far it has missed. Hopefully you have three same impact with freezing rain too 😉
Jeff Hamlin on January 13, 2019 at 12:31 pm
You are incorrect.
BubbaG on January 13, 2019 at 1:47 pm
Jinx perhaps, but not the fact the naysayers have been correct so far with the outlooks. Case in point, this event did trend north and you wanted to laugh when they were wrong…. They weren’t.
BubbaG on January 13, 2019 at 1:52 pm
I was not a naysayer for the one that went south. Made no sense, but it did go south.
Jim B on January 13, 2019 at 8:38 am
Count on moderate cold and rain for most, some snow for north and east ky for end of the week, the beat will roll on..
Jeff Hamlin on January 13, 2019 at 10:20 am
False
Jim B on January 13, 2019 at 10:29 am
Is what it is
BubbaG on January 13, 2019 at 1:50 pm
Hopefully your magic works again 🙂
Not sure what will happen if you agree….. Could be bad.
Schroeder on January 13, 2019 at 8:44 am
On a station out of Louisville yesterday evening they featured video of Children sledding and building snowmen. This has lifted my mood of winter time depression. Yesterday morning on my metal roof about two inches of snow fell. I can tell because the standing seams are two inches tall.
Schroeder on January 13, 2019 at 9:05 am
When the frigid cold in Alaska abates and a high pressure ridge develops along the west coast then I will believe that Arctic air will enter the central US and clears the gulf coast states into northern Florida. Whether there is an active subtropical jet to supply moisture to the Ohio Valley is yet to be determine. All storms have two components, a positive and a negative to become a complete storm. This is happening right now along the east coast where a foot of snow is forecast to fall.
Jimmie on January 13, 2019 at 9:46 am
Another 2003-caliber ice event will provide all the remaining motivation I need to move.
Keavyman on January 13, 2019 at 10:59 am
Finally got me some snow! After I moved to Ohio, SEKY got hit with double digit snows. Got a little over 8″ and still snowing.
Coffeelady on January 13, 2019 at 12:44 pm
Thanks Chris. Looks like a busy pattern taking shape but please tell it to skip us with the ice! If the analog years pan out, we are in for a couple of really good snows before winter is done. So we will see! Have a great afternoon everyone.
Jimbo on January 13, 2019 at 1:42 pm
Here we go again.
Rodger Dodger on January 13, 2019 at 2:01 pm
Most afternoon models taking the snow next weekend well north of KY. Maybe some ice along the river – maybe! Euro showing a chance. Long way to go. Rodger in Dodger
Jimbo on January 13, 2019 at 2:08 pm
Yes, local news in my area has temps in the 60’s next Saturday with thunderstorms possible.
Which Way Is the Wind Blowing on January 13, 2019 at 2:13 pm
Bank on dry cold weather after the rain leaves next weekend. Although, we might have an occasional clipper drop by into our neighborhood.
I will pretend CB did not mention freezing rain and 2003.
My thoughts are we will have to deal with ice at some point over the next several weeks if the subjet keeps roaring with arctic air entrenched over us. SE KY doesn’t see a lot of freezing rain events due to downslope effect (warming winds) as most lows go over or to the west of us leaving us in cold rain but I have seen a few, nothing like you all had in 2003!
The last ice storm I remember down here was back in the early or mid 90s
Yikes..
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_fv3&p=zr_acc&rh=2019011306&fh=174&r=us_ov&dpdt=&mc=
Yikes is right! Still waiting on our new roof from the November Ice Storm here in Cincy. Hope things change!
Looks bad for those that get frozen precip.
Sure it will change 20 times..Just hope this is wrong..
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=us&pkg=T2m&runtime=2019011306&fh=300
Don’t know what went wrong there..anyways showing -20s in northern ky with -teens in the southern counties..
All of this cold is POSSIBLE but we will have to have a snowpack to achieve those numbers this far south. If not, you could easily add 10 to 20 degrees back to those numbers which would still be single digits!
I pray for the snowpack but still don’t want negative numbers!:)
Yea really doubt those numbers..Don’t want single digits neither..Hate cold dry air..Believe the new GFS is like the Nam..Likes to over do things..
Cold-Rain, That just makes me sick to my stomach. The 2003 ice storm left me without power for close to a month. My anxiety is now starting to kick in. 🙁
Wouldn’t worry about it now or worry about it at all..Can’t take models seriously this far out..Long ways to go..
The models suck at snow, but sadly not the same with ice. Just sayin’.
Nearing the halfway point of winter of so far its been very mild. Temps in December finished about 5 degrees above normal in Lexington and so far January is 7 degrees above normal. If the cold that is coming balances this out to even normal, it will be brutal cold!
Not gonna happen, and me personally, glad it’s not
You are wrong.
Is what it is…. I will point out, you have said I would be wrong up to this point haha
Hams, you’re jinxing snow fans, since each time so far it has missed. Hopefully you have three same impact with freezing rain too 😉
You are incorrect.
Jinx perhaps, but not the fact the naysayers have been correct so far with the outlooks. Case in point, this event did trend north and you wanted to laugh when they were wrong…. They weren’t.
I was not a naysayer for the one that went south. Made no sense, but it did go south.
Count on moderate cold and rain for most, some snow for north and east ky for end of the week, the beat will roll on..
False
Is what it is
Hopefully your magic works again 🙂
Not sure what will happen if you agree….. Could be bad.
On a station out of Louisville yesterday evening they featured video of Children sledding and building snowmen. This has lifted my mood of winter time depression. Yesterday morning on my metal roof about two inches of snow fell. I can tell because the standing seams are two inches tall.
When the frigid cold in Alaska abates and a high pressure ridge develops along the west coast then I will believe that Arctic air will enter the central US and clears the gulf coast states into northern Florida. Whether there is an active subtropical jet to supply moisture to the Ohio Valley is yet to be determine. All storms have two components, a positive and a negative to become a complete storm. This is happening right now along the east coast where a foot of snow is forecast to fall.
Another 2003-caliber ice event will provide all the remaining motivation I need to move.
Finally got me some snow! After I moved to Ohio, SEKY got hit with double digit snows. Got a little over 8″ and still snowing.
Thanks Chris. Looks like a busy pattern taking shape but please tell it to skip us with the ice! If the analog years pan out, we are in for a couple of really good snows before winter is done. So we will see! Have a great afternoon everyone.
Here we go again.
Most afternoon models taking the snow next weekend well north of KY. Maybe some ice along the river – maybe! Euro showing a chance. Long way to go. Rodger in Dodger
Yes, local news in my area has temps in the 60’s next Saturday with thunderstorms possible.
Bank on dry cold weather after the rain leaves next weekend.
Although, we might have an occasional clipper drop by into our neighborhood.