Good evening, everyone. We are wrapping up another record setting hot day across the bluegrass state. This heat wave is about to come to an end, though, as a fall cold front gets ready to plow through here. This arrives late Thursday with very nice air behind it, but little rain ahead of it. The rain threat waits until Sunday and Monday to increase.
As big of a story as the cooler air is, the need for rain is a much bigger issue, so let’s concentrate on that. Our late weekend cold front brings showers and storms in here on Sunday. This front looks to slow down, allowing low pressure along it.
The latest trend among the models is to wait until this front is into central and eastern Kentucky to spit out the beneficial rains. Here are the latest totals from the European Model…
Much of the other medium range models agree with this. You can see the increase on the Canadian…
Temps may actually be considered chilly with this rain system and then stay seasonally cool/chilly for much of next week. There’s a chance for our first upper 30s to show up in some of the colder spots on a morning or two next week.
Get that Pot Of Chili ready… I smell an ALERT! 😉
Enjoy your evening and take care.
Not a good look at all from the models in regards to the rain. Each run trends more south and east, and we are still 4 days out. Areas along the Ohio River get very little which will do nothing to alleviate the severe drought now ongoing. Southern and southeast KY actually aren’t as dry as areas farther north in the state. Let’s hope the front slows over the next few days bringing the better rains back north.
Models seem to be too quick lately with fronts. Several days ago tomorrow’s front was forecasted to come through late tonight, but has been slowed until later tomorrow allowing for another record breaking day of heat across central and eastern KY.
The only good things about the upcoming pattern is the cooler highs and the cool nights that will allow for better dew and valley fog formation, which will help very slightly with the drought. But what are the odds we see truly below normal temperatures for more than a day or two? Not very good. I don’t think we have seen the last of the upper 80’s or maybe even a 90 into mid-October.