Good Saturday, everyone. We have some absolutely awesome weather continuing across the Commonwealth today, but the focus is on a heavy rain event moving in for Sunday and Monday. We may go from a history making dry period to local high water issues. Extremes continue to rule!
Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Temps are in the 40s to start and end with 75-80 across the north and 80-85 across the south. Winds will be very gusty with a clouds increasing as the day wears on. There’s even the slight chance for a stray shower or storm late today in the southeast…
Scattered showers and storms will increase tonight into Sunday as a strong cold front inches closer from the west. This front will have a small disturbance or wave of low pressure along it and that will cause rain and storms to rapidly increase Sunday night. Heavy amounts of rain will be likely into the first half of Monday and this could lead to some local flooding issues. The models still vary on where the heaviest axis of rain will fall, but the totals are generous across the board…
NAM
Canadian
GFS
The rain will end from west to easy Monday as temps remain chilly. Readings may not get out of the 50s across the eastern half of the state.
Tuesday through Thursday still look absolutely falltastic with chilly mornings and mild afternoons. Our next system will throw clouds at us on Thursday, with showers and storms quickly rolling in from the west to end the week. This setup could even bring a few strong storms and gusty winds into the region…
That kind of front usually produces one of those mega temp gradients where the numbers drop 20 degrees in just a small distance.
This is a pretty cold look for the middle of October and could bring us a frost/light freeze threat by Saturday and Sunday mornings…
From historic heat to a frost threat in a little over a week… The weather world changes just that fast, my friends.
I’m going to try to throw a little winter weather talk at ya over the next few days. You know the season is getting close when we go into double update days. 🙂
See y’all with the next update late today. Until then, make it a good one and take care.
Looking forward to both the refreshing rain and your double updates CB!
After last winter’s hatchet job which was supposed to be historic one still can’t keep from getting excited about this time of year..What will this winter bring..I’m a warm weather lover so a mild winter will be fine..Nether less winter brings out the kid in all of us..Here’s a early look from one of many..
https://www.weatherworksinc.com/node/1653
Bring it ! Will it be a chilli alert?
CB is allowed to talk drought now, because….
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/temp-and-precip/us-weekly/current-week-pdi.gif
…the long term Palmer product, the bible for drought, now says so
Oh, and btw, did I miss something or calculate something wrong? Hasn’t Lexington officially at least tied the longest dry streak since 1908 at 37 days? No hoopla, no news, no tweets, either from Bailey and his crew, NWS office…nothing. I think this is a pretty big deal, so I must be wrong.
How would one determine the longest dry streak if the locations where records are kept have changed? The longest dry streak from 1908 I think was “downtown Lexington”. Since records aren’t kept downtown anymore or weren’t kept at the airport back then……..how would one really know unless records were kept at both places the entire time.
Yeah, from what I read, the 37 days lists the airport, but perhaps the 37 days could ‘represent’ both locations.
“CB is allowed to talk drought now”
Yawn…..
Jeff you hit the nail there’s always somebody wants to talk baseline comments.
Another 90 degree day weeee
Another 90 degree day in London. Thank God for the rain and legitimate cold front. The previous didn’t do much
86 here in western, ky getting to see some clouds rolling in with hopefully a rainmaker coming in tomorrow.